Part I, II, III, IV, V. We have before us X1 to X156. We started by assuming that something, called T, caused these data to take the values it did. We agreed […]
Reasoning To Belief: Feser’s The Last Superstition: A Refutation of the New Atheism — Part IV
Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part Interlude, Part IV, Part V, Part VI. Part Last. It’s God All The Way Down Talk about causality without foreshadowing a tie to God […]
All Of Statistics: Part III
(B) New data It might surprise you, but in classical (both frequentist and Bayesian) practice, if we expect to see new X, the procedure is almost always no different than the procedure […]
Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference
Update This post is mandatory reading for those discussing global average temperature. I mean it: exceedingly brief and given only with respect to a univariate time series, such as operationally define global […]
What can we learn about global warming from poor reporting?
From today’s Syndney Morning Herald comes the headline: “Global warming to impact health“. First, by impact the reporter almost certainly means influence, a more accurate, but far less energetic and “actionable”, word. […]
Statistics’ dirtiest secret
The old saying that “You can prove anything using statistics” isn’t true. It is a lie, and a damned lie, at that. It is an ugly, vicious, scurrilous distortion, undoubtedly promulgated by […]
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