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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Common Fallacy In Global Warming Arguments

Our post today is provided by Terry Oldberg, M.S.E., M.S.E.E., P.E. Engineer-Scientist, Citizen of the U.S. That's a lot of letters, Terry! Oldberg joined our Spot the Fallacy Contest, which…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Update This post is mandatory reading for those discussing global average temperature. I mean it: exceedingly brief and given only with respect to a univariate time series, such as operationally…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Data Is The Data, Not The Model: With Climatology Time Series Example

How not to plot The following plot was sent to me yesterday for comment. I cannot disclose the sender, nor the nature of the data, but neither of these are…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

Reasoning To Belief: Feser’s The Last Superstition: A Refutation of the New Atheism — Part IV

Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part Interlude, Part IV, Part V, Part VI. Part Last. It's God All The Way Down Talk about causality without foreshadowing a tie…
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Posted inPhilosophy

What can we learn about global warming from poor reporting?

From today's Syndney Morning Herald comes the headline: "Global warming to impact health". First, by impact the reporter almost certainly means influence, a more accurate, but far less energetic and…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Statistics’ dirtiest secret

The old saying that "You can prove anything using statistics" isn't true. It is a lie, and a damned lie, at that. It is an ugly, vicious, scurrilous distortion, undoubtedly…
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  1. Briggs on Jung’s Synchronicity & CoincidenceJuly 17, 2025

    Scott, One of my hobbies is mentalism, mental magic---I even performed a trick on a Vegas stage! I have lots…

  2. James on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 16, 2025

    The Aquatic Ape Hypothesis might be worthy of exploring for bad science: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aquatic_ape_hypothesis

  3. Scott Locklin on Jung’s Synchronicity & CoincidenceJuly 16, 2025

    There was a book on the correspondence between Jung and Wolfgang Pauli (who was a genius, but also an alcoholic…

  4. Ralph Mertesdorf on Vegetarians Crave Power And Success More Than Meat Eaters Do, Study FindsJuly 16, 2025

    I found another headline at that "Study Finds" site" "Many Texas Communities Are Dangerously Unprepared For Floods, And Lack Of…

  5. Tars Tarkas on Vegetarians Crave Power And Success More Than Meat Eaters Do, Study FindsJuly 16, 2025

    "39. She always wants to be the one who makes the decisions. She likes to be the leader." This is…

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