Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Scrap Statistics, Begin Anew
You or I might perhaps be excused if we sometimes toyed with solipsism, especially when we reflect on the utter failure of our writings to produce the smallest effect in…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Bayes Is More Than Probably Right: An Answer To Senn; Part I
Stephen Senn very kindly answered a post I wrote on p-values (Unsignificant Statistics: Or Die P-Value, Die Die Die) by sending me his "You May Believe You Are a Bayesian…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
All Probability Is Conditional: An Answer To Senn; Part IV
Read Part III. Still with me? Hope so, because we're only on the second page of Senn's article (but don't fret; we'll be skipping most of it). Review: in logical-probability…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Should Philosophers Of Statistics Do?
A while back, far longer than it should have been, D.G. Mayo asked me to stop by her place and comment on a couple of posts. But laziness and excessive…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part I
Definitions We first have to define what subjectivity and objectivity are and from these see what happens. For those unused to reading long stretches of prose, here is the conclusion,…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What’s The Difference Between A Confidence Interval And A Credible Interval? Update
Twitter @ceptional reminded me of this post, which I had forgotten. Since it is highly relevant to The Great Bayesian Switch, I decided to repost. Some minor errors in grammar…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV
In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…
Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics
The Great Bayesian Switch
Update: See this post on the definition of confidence and credible intervals. Submitted for your approval, a new paper. A polemic describing in nascent terms the paradise that awaits us…
