Quoting from a post on vampires, “In Bayesian inference, you start with some initial beliefs (called ‘Bayesian priors’ or just ‘priors’), and then you ‘update’ them as you receive new evidence.” This […]
Please pass this on to ANY researcher who uses statistics. Pretty please. With sugar on top. Like I say below, it’s far far far far far past time to cease using statistics […]
Everybody who’s anybody—which makes, as we’ll see, a lot of nobodies—knows the gambler’s fallacy. Gambler watches the roulette wheel come up red six times running and says to himself, “Black is due.” […]
It’s probably gone by now, but for a little while my new book, Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, was “#1 New Release in Epistemology” then “#1 New Release in […]
This isn’t the book page. This is. Or you can buy it here. The page is permanently located at the menu bar at the top of the page, at the far left. […]
There is a hierarchy of models in the sense they offer insight into the thing modeled. The order of importance is: causal, deterministic, probabilistic, statistical. Most models use mixtures of these elements. […]
The book is now at a 15% discount at Amazon (I apologize for the price). Buy today. And buy again tomorrow! This will be linked permanently on the book’s official page. Springer […]
I’ll have the page proofs for Uncertainty mid week and I’ve until 10 June to turn them back in. (I begin teaching on the 13th.) This puts publication in early July. They […]
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