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Super Truth-Seeing Mutant Beings Walk Among Us!
Posted inPhilosophy

Super Truth-Seeing Mutant Beings Walk Among Us!

You've not been able to miss the Marvel universe, I'm betting, even if, like regular readers, you don't go to the movies. The characters are nevertheless everywhere, as is the…
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Of Course Neo-Darwinian Evolution By “Random” Mutation Is Wrong
Posted inStatistics

Of Course Neo-Darwinian Evolution By “Random” Mutation Is Wrong

I apologize for not getting right to the point. I can't. Everybody's premises are wrong, and it requires work to set them right. I think the young people enjoy it…
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Class 38: Truly Random & Information Complexity
Posted inStatistics

Class 38: Truly Random & Information Complexity

There is nothing magical or mystical about simulations, and "randomness" has nothing to do with any of them. Let's remove the unrealistic thinking from simulations by understanding them for what…
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Reviewed: The Great Awakening Vs The Great Reset by Alexander Dugin
Posted inBook review

Reviewed: The Great Awakening Vs The Great Reset by Alexander Dugin

The National Association of Scholars is hosting a webinar this Friday, 3 PM EST: Is Science Broken? featuring Yours Truly. Free, but you have to register. Given that Vladimir Putin's…
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Class 8: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: What Probability Is 1
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 8: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: What Probability Is 1

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute Link to all Classes. HOMEWORK THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS UNCONDITIONAL PROBABILITY, I.E. THERE IS NO Pr(A), only Pr(A|B).…
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How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist

Lisping Rationalists When I read people like Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander it becomes clear to me how the French could have built a Temple of Reason during The Terror.…
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“No Convincing Evidence That Depression Is Associated With, Or Caused By, Lower Serotonin Concentrations Or Activity”
Posted inStatistics

“No Convincing Evidence That Depression Is Associated With, Or Caused By, Lower Serotonin Concentrations Or Activity”

That lack of, or low, serotonin drives "depression" is a medial truism, say many. Those who say it most strongly are those companies manufacturing chemicals to boost serotonin levels (or…
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On The Limitations of AI: Predictions
Posted inStatistics

On The Limitations of AI: Predictions

This is on the philosophy (not mechanics) of the predictive limitations of so-called artificial intelligence models. AI is no different than other models in principle, being only statements which connect…
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  1. Hagfish Bagpipe on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    The earth is a spinning ball orbiting the sun in a limitless vacuum. Maybe. But maybe not. After seeing how…

  2. hudbwu on Jung’s Synchronicity & CoincidenceJuly 15, 2025

    > you have posited that nothing has become a cause, and it is impossible the absence of anything can become…

  3. Phil R on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    My earlier post was longish and probably wasn't that clear. I think two of the problems are a lack of…

  4. Polybius on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    Now that I have thought more about this I think one of our biggest problems in all fields from climate…

  5. C. P. Benischek on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    Evolution. As Stephen Jay Gould once sort of said, the lack of a single example in the fossil record of…

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