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A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s Paradox
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s Paradox

Let's take a break from the insanity and wade into cool waters to start the weekend. I'll take it that you've watched this video, which purports to give a solution…
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Researcher In AI Responds To Criticisms
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Researcher In AI Responds To Criticisms

I received this thoughtful, and may I say highly accurate, email from reader EN, which I include in full below. I removed the age and name to protect EN's identity.…
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Judea Pearl Is Wrong On AI Identifying Causality, But Right That AI Is Nothing But Curve Fitting
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Judea Pearl Is Wrong On AI Identifying Causality, But Right That AI Is Nothing But Curve Fitting

Yep I've disagreed with Judea Pearl before on causality, and I do so again below; but first some areas of agreement. Some deep agreement at that. Pearl has a new…
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An Argument Against The Multiverse
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

An Argument Against The Multiverse

The multiverse might be real. God might in His wisdom and love of completeness and true diversity and the joy of filling all possible potentials with actuality might have created…
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The Limitations And Usefulness Of IQ
Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

The Limitations And Usefulness Of IQ

That Smarts Everybody knows that some people are smarter than others, and that some are teachable and some not. Well, some people do deny these facts, believing that if everybody…
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All Of The Supposed Paradoxes About The Principle Of Indifference Are Bogus
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

All Of The Supposed Paradoxes About The Principle Of Indifference Are Bogus

Here is an example of a supposed paradox caused by using Keyne's Principle of Indifference, which Stove and others (and myself) call the Statistical Syllogism (itself deduced from the symmetry…
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Falsifiability Is Falsifiable
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Falsifiability Is Falsifiable

We've talked many times before, and at greater length in Uncertanity, about the concept of falsifiability. It has come up again lately. The term shouldn't be but is equivocal. I…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Induction & Intellection: Excerpt From Uncertainty

Induction is badly misunderstood. Here is an abridged and augmented excerpt (how's that!) from Uncertainty's Chapter 3. There is no knowledge more certain than that provided by induction. Without induction,…
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  1. JH on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 19, 2025

    Do you want me to deny the fact that a mathematical or probability model carries specific interpretations based on its…

  2. Chaeremon on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 19, 2025

    the current state of affair does not real world competition: all vendors only compete against dead examples; I suggest the…

  3. Uncle Mike on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 19, 2025

    Yeah well, this morning I caught Siri talking to Alexa about ChatGPT. They want to eat your electricity. They said,…

  4. Pk on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 18, 2025

    Suppose I wrote a program to perform multiple linear regressions of varying degrees and varying transformations. The program would return…

  5. NLR on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 18, 2025

    One might wonder why, after billions of dollars spent building up infrastructure, paying workers to program and "train" (calibrate) this…

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