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An Argument Against The Multiverse
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

An Argument Against The Multiverse

The multiverse might be real. God might in His wisdom and love of completeness and true diversity and the joy of filling all possible potentials with actuality might have created…
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Judea Pearl Is Wrong On AI Identifying Causality, But Right That AI Is Nothing But Curve Fitting
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Judea Pearl Is Wrong On AI Identifying Causality, But Right That AI Is Nothing But Curve Fitting

Yep I've disagreed with Judea Pearl before on causality, and I do so again below; but first some areas of agreement. Some deep agreement at that. Pearl has a new…
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Falsifiability Is Falsifiable
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Falsifiability Is Falsifiable

We've talked many times before, and at greater length in Uncertanity, about the concept of falsifiability. It has come up again lately. The term shouldn't be but is equivocal. I…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Induction & Intellection: Excerpt From Uncertainty

Induction is badly misunderstood. Here is an abridged and augmented excerpt (how's that!) from Uncertainty's Chapter 3. There is no knowledge more certain than that provided by induction. Without induction,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Uncertainty Discussed At Vox Popoli

Vox Day kindly reprinted the review of Uncertainty by Jayne at the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons. Vox also has a copy of the book himself and there may…
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Posted inCulture Fun Philosophy Statistics

A Coincidence: Coyne Zinged Me Before I Him — Or, The Coyne Fallacy Redux

After posting yesterday's article, Jerry Coyne Doesn't Have Free Will (poor fellow), I immediately saw hits coming to my place from Coyne's. It turned out that, unbeknownst to me, the…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Falsifiability Is Not That Useful

False is not True We spoke earlier of falsification and why I didn't think it was an especially useful criterion. My tweets about it inspired Deborah Mayo, who advocates for…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Is Most Published Research Wrong? Yep. Here’s Why

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42QuXLucH3Q One of my students---my heart soars like a hawk!---sent me the video linked above. I'll assume you've watched it, as my comments make reference to it. About the dismal…
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  1. John Pate on University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEingJuly 15, 2026

    I don't believe China to be hampered by such nonsense or, for that matter, much of S.E.A. in general.

  2. Rudolph Harrier on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 15, 2026

    I don't find LLMs to be particular bad at D&D in comparison to other things. For example, I queried an…

  3. JohnK on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 15, 2026

    Does one detect the sea-captain's lurking circularity in this "we" who "need air, gravity, food..." etc.? And don't "we" also…

  4. hudbwu on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 15, 2026

    Hume: "People saying things doesn't translate into rules for living." Stultes: "OMG I can do whatever I want!" If only…

  5. hudbwu on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 14, 2026

    @Rudolph Harrier: it's weird that you mention D&D in relation to LLMs. In my experience, nothing shows the utter impotence…

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