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Posted inStatistics

Podcast Lecture #2: Understanding Statistics and Probability

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0002.mp3[/podcast] On today's lecture: Quick review All knowledge is conditional on evidence, which eventually leads back to our intuitions. The steps in an argument that make it valid are also…
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Posted inPodcast Statistics

Podcast Radio Show – Episode #4: Belief in Climate Models

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_14oct2009_0004.mp3[/podcast] On today's episode: Science and skeptical bloggers A small article in last week's Science magazine frets that skeptical bloggers are teasing climate scientists over their failed predictions. Bloggers are…
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Posted inStatistics

Podcast Lecture #1: Understanding Statistics and Probability

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_lecture_0001.mp3[/podcast] First lecture: I'm away to a conference this week, and so thought it would be fun to start a lecture series Understanding Statistics and Probability (this is posting automatically---I'll…
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Posted inStatistics

About Half Will Not Pay Federal Income Tax: Plus, A Solution To This Unfairness

What's to stop a large bloc of voters from joining forces to create laws so that they get a free ride, that they, in effect, make everybody else pay their…
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Posted inPodcast Statistics

Podcast Radio Show – Episode #2: The Limits of Human Knowledge and The Singularity

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_30sep2009_0002.mp3[/podcast] On today's show: Update 3 Oct: The show appears to be available on iTunes. Search Podcasts for "Briggs" under "Title." If anybody has difficulties downloading, please let me know.…
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Posted inStatistics

Coincidence?

Link.
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Posted inPodcast Statistics

Podcast Radio Show—Episode #1: The Mind of the Climate Activist

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/ep_23sep2009_0001.mp3[/podcast] Welcome to the first show! Update If you are want to download, but are unfamiliar how, click the Podcasts RSS feed on the left part of the webpage. You'll…
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Posted inStatistics

Guest Post: The Case of America’s Missing Rebellion

Today's guest post is from William J Briggs, my number one son. Note that it's J and not M: he's named after my father. Last night NYC was host to…
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  1. Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 10, 2026

    C-Marie, I knew you could.

  2. Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 10, 2026

    Andrew, No, they're just bad model predictions. See the "hallucination" article I referenced.

  3. Andrew P Partington on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    Gödel’s incompleteness theorem proves that no apparently complete logical system can rule out the paradox (“this sentence is not true”)…

  4. C- Marie on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I understood much of the logic of this. Thank you, Matt! God bless, C- Marie

  5. shawn marshall on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I asked Grok to assign probabilities to all the known facts about the Shroud of Turin and then calculate a…

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