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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Science News Statistical Article: Odds Are, It’s Wrong

Many (thank you everybody!) people sent me the "Odds Are, It's Wrong" article by Tom Siegfried and have asked me to comment. Below are the key points; I will assume…
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Posted inStatistics

Obamacare Predictions: Part I

Here are some things I think will happen if Obamacare is passed. When I say "you" or "your", I mean "people on average." Obviously, some people will benefit. This is…
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Posted inStatistics

Randomized Trials Are Not Needed

I promised this article a long time ago: I hope these well known calculations are enough to give the gist. Randomized controlled trials are supposed to be the gold standard…
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Posted inStatistics

Final Healthcare Showdown: Government vs. Liberty

There's Nancy Pelosi, Six Gun of State strapped to her side, the sun burning overhead. And there's you, armed only with Freedom, thirty paces off. It's a standoff! If you…
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Posted inStatistics

Climate Model Uncertainty: Part II

Read Part I The Analysis (cont.) Two problems arise when comparing a model's integration (the forecast) with an analysis of new observations, which are not found when comparing the forecast…
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Posted inStatistics

Pajamas Media: President Obama To Make Poverty Permanent

Today's post is at Pajamas Media: President Obama To Make Poverty Permanent. The Obama administration will create a new definition of poverty, one that changes as a function of how…
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Posted inStatistics

Climate Model Uncertainty: Part I

Would you check the results of a model with another model? Before you answer, be sure you know what the question is. A model---whether it is physical, statistical, mathematical, or…
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Posted inStatistics

The Ease of Cheating With Statistics

Thanks to readers Ari Schwartz and Tom Pollard for suggesting this article. Take any two sets of numbers, where the only restriction is that a reasonable chunk inside each set…
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  1. gareth on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 7, 2026

    So, was there any actual plant bothering done? Or was this all "thought experiment"? It was not clear to me…

  2. hudbwu on Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The SpeciesSeptember 7, 2026

    Well that's interesting. I should redo this calculation for every country in the world, to see if it holds for…

  3. hudbwu on A New Kind Of University: Your Comments WantedSeptember 7, 2026

    > They are clearly doing something right in maintaining its Magisterium. LOL! The Church would have been dead and buried…

  4. hudbwu on Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?September 7, 2026

    I read the blog post and my takeaway is "more research is required". :)

  5. Aaa on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 5, 2026

    Lewontin was a filthy lying leftist. His supporters would with their lying put Lysenko to shame.

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