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Posted inStatistics

Hurricane paper featured on AIR-Worldwide

Roger Pielke, Jr., who's at the University of Colorado Center for Science Technology Policy Research, has written a year-end summary of the 2007 hurricane season. The summary appears in two…
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Posted inStatistics

Now only 32.8% of people believe the polls: Did New Hampshire let us down?

Last week we looked at how the polls did in Iowa. How badly did the polls in the New Hampshire race do in yesterday's Democrat primary? Here are the results:…
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Posted inStatistics

Don Imus sidekick makes a point with a failed joke

Just heard Don Imus, who was attempting to explain why he wasn't being sarcastic when he said "At least [George Bush] did something right" because we have not been attacked…
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Posted inStatistics

A safe, but misleading, prediction about global warming

Reuters's, on 3 January, had this headline, "2008 to be in top 10 warmest years say forecasters." A quote: 2008 will be slightly cooler than recent years globally but will…
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Posted inStatistics

Asinine comparison of holocaust deniers and honest scientists

Some guy named Joel Connelly at the Seattle Post-Intelligencer has written another one of those "We must do something now" global warming articles. What makes his piece distinct is that…
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Posted inStatistics

How much does winning Iowa and New Hampshire help?

On the earlier poll thread, a reader asked "What's your opinion about the statistical summary of past results of Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primaries?" pointing out data from Neatorama.com.…
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Posted inStatistics

73.2% of Likely Voters Believe Poll Results

Pollster: Who will you vote for? Civilian: Oh, I don't know; that guy, the tall one. Pollster: I'll put you down for Obama. The elections in Iowa are over and…
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Posted inStatistics

Hurricanes have not increased: misuse of running means

Most statistics purporting to show that there has been an increase in hurricanes do not use the best statistical methods. I want to highlight one particular method that is often…
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  1. McChuck on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 18, 2025

    Modern scientific statistics is nothing more than a roleplaying game based on a 20 sided die. The game master (study…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To SaySeptember 17, 2025

    Sorry, the same printer's devils who occasionally sabotage Dr. Brigg's publications must have attacked my previous post; Should read; "ouroboros".…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To SaySeptember 17, 2025

    I just thunk up a term to describe this scientiststic strain of thought (hmm, is that one pun or two?);…

  4. Rex8or Legitimax Prime on Chinese Scientists Pull Off Hilarious “Climate Change” Troll?September 17, 2025

    They didn't include the red meat is bad thing, they need to try harder, 7/10.

  5. Rex8or Legitimax Prime on Chinese Scientists Pull Off Hilarious “Climate Change” Troll?September 17, 2025

    They got the temperature increase, sugar is bad and disadvantaged affected disproportionately things in but there's no red meat kills…

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