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The World’s Best 100% Guaranteed Unpredictable Perfect Random Number Generator
Posted inStatistics

The World’s Best 100% Guaranteed Unpredictable Perfect Random Number Generator

"Random" numbers are in hot demand. They're needed, for instance, in cryptography, to keep things like your bank account secure, and in science, where they're used in simulating complex systems.…
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Over-Certainties In Global Estimates of Vaccine Efficacy
Posted inStatistics

Over-Certainties In Global Estimates of Vaccine Efficacy

How can you tell if a vaccine for a bug is effective? It's not so easy; indeed, it can be excruciatingly difficult. At the individual person level you'd need to…
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How Many Times Must You Shoot To Be 95% Sure Of Hitting Your Target At Least Once?
Posted inStatistics

How Many Times Must You Shoot To Be 95% Sure Of Hitting Your Target At Least Once?

Why do cops, and home and shop owners, empty their guns when shooting at bad guys? Another way to ask this is our title: How Many Times Must You Shoot…
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The Vatican’s New Exhortation On “Climate Change” Has Many Errors
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Vatican’s New Exhortation On “Climate Change” Has Many Errors

The Vatican issued a new Apostolic Exhortation, given in the name of Pope Francis, entitled Laudate Deum. The document is addressed "To all people of good will on the climate…
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Something Has Gone Seriously Wrong With “Climate Change” Science
Posted inStatistics

Something Has Gone Seriously Wrong With “Climate Change” Science

When my boys and I seize power and I become emperor, the very first thing I do (after having the mess hosed clean) is to place a strict two-year moratorium…
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Experts: Everybody In Europe Died From Breathing Toxic Air
Posted inStatistics

Experts: Everybody In Europe Died From Breathing Toxic Air

A toxin, as the redoubtable reader undoubtedly knows, is a poison. And a poison, says Mr Webster, is that which causes "morbid, noxious, or deadly effects". People who ingest or…
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All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False
Posted inStatistics

All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False

Here's a typical recent propaganda headline: "Climate change made Libya flooding 50 times more likely: Report." This is not so. Here's another recent one from PBS: "Climate change made global…
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Weeping & Gnashing Of Teeth From Our Paper Saying “Climate Change” Not A Big Deal
Posted inPodcast Statistics

Weeping & Gnashing Of Teeth From Our Paper Saying “Climate Change” Not A Big Deal

That peer-reviewed, and therefore indisputable, paper we wrote showing, as many have showed, that "climate change" is overblown has been getting a lot of publicity. Before we come to that,…
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  1. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

  2. Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025

    What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…

  3. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  4. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

  5. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Is there evidence that people believe probabilities, parameters, or mathematical objects exist physically in nature? The fact that mathematicians use…

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