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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Posted inStatistics

No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders

Posted by By Briggs June 3, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?

Posted by By Briggs June 1, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Consensus That Wasn’t: Less Than 1%, Not 97%

If I hear that "97% of scientists agree..." nonsense number just one more time---why, I'll laugh. And why not? It is comedy in its best democratic form. That screwy figure…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: More On Intellects And The Body

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Chapter 69…
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Posted inStatistics

Big Data, Big Predictions — Big Deal!

The title, you'll be shocked to learn, is sarcastic. You'll forgive the tone after reading NBC's article "Big Data's Big Misses: 2016 Was a Bad Year For Predictions", which opens…
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Posted inCulture

On That Lone Parishioner At The Portland Episcopal Church

Note: I wrote this piece before I learned of the survey I wrote about a while back at The Stream. Even though some of the material here overlaps, there are…
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Posted inCulture

Stream: Scientists, Women, The Press Think Trump Is Coming For Them

Stream: Scientists, Women, The Press Think Trump Is Coming For Them. Week or so before the election, there was a rumor bumping around the Internet which said Trump, if he…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Vatican’s Biological Extinction Conference

It's old news now that the Pontifical Academy of Sciences has invited the death loving and appalling and serially wrong Paul Ehrlich to its conference on Biological Extinction. LifeSite reports:…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On The Demon Possessed Doll & Little Girl

You might have seen the video of the little girl playing near a doll, a doll which twitches its head without visible promoting. The video switches views and sees the…
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Posted inStatistics

Reality-Based Climate Forecasting — Guest Post by Paul Driessen

Editor's note: since I am sick unto death of the weak anemic emaciated runtish political science of climatology, I refuse to write about it. I can point you to shenanigans…
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  1. C-Marie on No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke CodersJune 3, 2026

    Thank you, Matt! Poor, poor Pope Leo XIV and the synodal business .... praying every day for Leo, for full…

  2. Anonimos?aw on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerJune 3, 2026

    "By age 80, the men who made it are more robust and the women start slipping under faster." Well, since…

  3. jgh on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerJune 3, 2026

    I do census data research, and something very striking is comparing age profiles. The age distribution in 1900 is more-or-less…

  4. jgh on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 3, 2026

    Surely the only logical reasoning is: if he knew what he was doing, he should be executed as punishment. If…

  5. Stephen Frick on No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke CodersJune 3, 2026

    Thank you. This has so many valuable observations.

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