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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition
June 17, 2025
The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example
June 16, 2025
Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
June 12, 2025
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
June 11, 2025
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
June 10, 2025
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
June 9, 2025
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!
June 5, 2025
Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
June 4, 2025
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
June 3, 2025
Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
June 2, 2025
Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters
May 29, 2025
IQ Is Not Intelligence
May 28, 2025
What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?
May 27, 2025
Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula
May 22, 2025
Blacks Have Black Fatigue: Who Is At Fault?
May 21, 2025
A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: Food
May 20, 2025
What Are The Chances…A Women Survives Cancer 4 Times To Be Killed By “Random” Bullet?
May 19, 2025
Class 50: Independence Versus Irrelevance
May 15, 2025
The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An Academic
May 14, 2025
Eggs and ‘PFAS-Easter’ or Selling Fear on the Day of Resurrection — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
May 13, 2025
Academics Call Pregnancy A Disease
May 12, 2025
Posted inStatistics

The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition

Posted by By Briggs June 17, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example

Posted by By Briggs June 16, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture Statistics

Rhode Island Mandates HPV Vaccine, Tells Parents, “We’re The Government And Can Do What We Like”

I'm not sure what it is with lawmakers. Are they only interested in increasing control over citizens' lives? Or is it that in combination with ignorance? Let the Boston Globe…
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Posted inCulture

The Expansion Team Syndrome: SAT Scores & Science

What happens when a professional sports league expands? We talked about this before, but the obvious answer is that the average talent of the league decreases---for two reasons. The first…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Unknown Fallacy: Inflicting Your Views On Me

https://twitter.com/unknowncomic/status/639899682496454657 So a guy with a paper bag on his head, two holes cut for eyes and one for his pie hole, walks on stage, begins pumping his arms like…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: On God’s Will

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. A quick…
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Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom: If You Like Your Religion, You Can Keep Your Religion

Law Of The Land! AP: A city clerk in Nuremberg yesterday issued a marriage certificate to a Jew and a German, violating the country's new laws forbidding such unions. Fritz…
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Posted inCulture

No Christians In Public Life? Kentucky Clerk Jailed For Refusing To Issue Gmarriage Licenses.

So this Rowan County Clerk Kim Davis, an elected official (Democrat) and therefore unfireable, has refused under court order to issue gmarriage licenses. The judge was asked by lawyers representing…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Global Warming Update: Obama Seeks to Still the Glaciers of Alaska

Today's post is at The Stream: "Global Warming Update: Obama Seeks to Still the Glaciers of Alaska." Have you heard the story of King Canute? Lord and Master of the…
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Posted inStatistics

Frequenstism Is Entirely Ad Hoc; And So Are Priors. Use The Third Way Instead

https://twitter.com/learnfromerror/status/638841417461276672 Short note today, because today, and most days for the next couple of weeks, are book days. I am nearly finished with the damned thing. I'm now handling drudgery…
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  1. Hagfish Bagpipe on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025

    HagFISH. Sheesh

  2. John W. Garrett on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025

    Yikes. Maybe the Rockefellers, the Hewletts, the Packards, Jeremy Grantham, Eric & Wendy Schmidt, the Waltons, Leo DiCaprio, Mike Bloomberg…

  3. cdquarles on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025

    There was a wise politician who warned us about the government-media-academia complex over 60 years ago. That's right, the other…

  4. McChuck on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025

    Remember, kids, a scientist is nothing more than an academic with a lab coat. Academics are people who have been…

  5. NLR on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025

    Certainly, the science-industrial-government-university complex is corrupt. The criticism of it is all warranted. But even worse than expensive and frivolous…

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