Another review of Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, this one taken from an Amazon customer. It was 7 or 8 years ago when I was sitting in my office […]
Statistical Models CANNOT Show Cause, But EVERYBODY Thinks They Can. Hence the Replication CRISIS

Please pass this on to ANY researcher who uses statistics. Pretty please. With sugar on top. Like I say below, it’s far far far far far past time to cease using statistics […]
The Great Day Is Here! Uncertainty Meets The World

The Great Day—the Day yearned for by all humanity, or at least weakly anticipated by you, Dear Reader—has arrived! Let the trumpet sound and celebration begin! The release of Uncertainty: The Soul […]
Science Confirms Astrology! Plus, Machine Learning, Big Data, And Causes

Health signs The alternate title to today’s post, suggested by reader Kip Hansen, is “Data scientists find connections between birth month and health“. Don’t scoff. We’re talking peer review and wee p-values, […]
Falsifiability Is Not That Useful

False is not True We spoke earlier of falsification and why I didn’t think it was an especially useful criterion. My tweets about it inspired Deborah Mayo, who advocates for the new […]
Computers Can Find Future Criminals? Why, Computers Can Do Anything!
There is a belief—a persistent and beguiling, yet false belief—that a formula exists that can predict anything. This formula will differ, it is thought, by the thing predicted, and it is certain […]
Uncertainty (#1 New Release in Statistics) Book Page — Here Are The Details. Update!

This isn’t the book page. This is. Or you can buy it here. The page is permanently located at the menu bar at the top of the page, at the far left. […]
Uncertainty Is An Impossible Sell

I’ve never seen the show, but I’ve heard that the protagonist on the X Files used to have a desk sign which read, “I want to believe.” That sentiment characterizes most buyers […]
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