Search Results for “polls” – Page 4

Video: How To Think About Statistics, Figures, And New Ideas

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FmMBLTz6Pp8 Hard link to the video. This post ran originally on 28 February 2015. Given the quiet weekend, I postponed our Summa Contra Gentiles until next week. It is a…

Statistics

Stream: Why The Polls Stunk Up The Place

Today's post is at the Stream: Why The Polls Stunk Up The Place. Boy, were the pros' polls and predictions lousy. And not just lousy, malodorous. And worse than malodorous,…

Culture Statistics

Stream: Are Polls Underestimating Trump’s True Support?

Today's post is at the Stream: Are Polls Underestimating Trump's True Support? The press in 1980 did their best to scupper Ronald Reagan. They said he was an "extremist" and…

Culture Statistics

Media Lying With Polls? Is The Pope…Er…Ah, Never Mind

Today's post is at The Stream: Be Skeptical of the Polls: Is the media lying to boost Hillary? Note: I'm putting the Summary Against Modern Thought Sunday series on hiatus…

Statistics

On The Cubs’ & Trump’s Victories, Nate Silver’s Predictions & All That

https://twitter.com/ThaRightStuff/status/794045050753794048 Some crow is presumably being eaten by Nate Silver and the folks at FiveThirtyEight.com this fine morning. I recommend they bake it into a pie (which I learnt from…

Culture Fun Philosophy Statistics

A Coincidence: Coyne Zinged Me Before I Him — Or, The Coyne Fallacy Redux

After posting yesterday's article, Jerry Coyne Doesn't Have Free Will (poor fellow), I immediately saw hits coming to my place from Coyne's. It turned out that, unbeknownst to me, the…

Statistics

Chesterton On Polls

I was led by Dale Ahlquist, president of the American Chesterton Society, to an article by Chesterton on the kinds of statistics used in polls. Here is an excerpt (the…

Culture Statistics

Gallup On Satisfaction With Gay “Rights”, The Remnant, & The Episcopalian Grounding

Galloping to our doom Surveys of public attitudes in democracies are interesting. When pollsters aren't lying (more on this another day), polls are crude snapshots of the adult "general public's"…

Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025
Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.
spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025
If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…
JH on Class 56: The Best Model!June 29, 2025
How can you make predictions in the big data era without using a model? Trust your gut.
Jonas P. Kay on Which God Are You Rejecting? David Bentley Hart’s The Experience of God, Part IJune 28, 2025
I answer all by saying you cannot get something from nothing. There is beauty in its simplicity and it is…
Johnno on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJune 27, 2025
So what's the betting pool on the odds about when and in which country will be the first to perform…