Here it is, friends, the one complete universal simple function, the only function you will ever need to fit any—I said any—dataset x. And all it takes is one—I said one—parameter! . […]
I once did a talk on this subject at Spain’s Royal Institute of Science during the first global warming panic, but I did a lousy job. Now, at the time of our […]
Kip Hansen last week gave us the following scenario (which I’ve pared to bare essentials here, but check the original if you fret): START Sam shows us three cards, two Jokers and […]
For readers in a hurry, here’s the answer: There is no probability of a nuclear war. Nor of a conventional one. Nor even of you being victor in your next King Of […]
This is from Gerd Gigerenzer’s “Mindless statistics” in The Journal of Socio-Economics, 33, (2004) 587–606. Have a go before looking at the answers (I’m giving my own, not quoting Gigerenzer). Send this […]
Seventy-some researcher groups were given identical data, and asked to investigate an identical question. The groups did not communicate. Details are in the paper “Observing Many Researchers Using the Same Data and […]
A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, “Doc, I saw that new ad. The […]
“Say, Briggs. Since you’re Statistician to the Stars!, explain to me how I can tell if two means are different in a simple way that even I can understand.” You got two […]
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