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Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
Posted inStatistics

The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind

We previously, and briefly, discussed The Paper Test (see the articles on limitations at bottom here), which is an argument that computers, including those laden with AI, are not alive,…
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Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
Posted inStatistics

Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes

If I had to pick one paper to represent why the Class is so important, about why so much which passes for science is unworthy, it might be the peer-reviewed…
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Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
Posted inStatistics

Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Class 79: Time Series Example
Posted inStatistics

Class 79: Time Series Example

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
Read More
Posted inStatistics

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

Headline (one of many): "Long COVID may be triggering Alzheimer’s-like changes in the brain: new study". Story: The effects of long COVID rage on. Over 20 million Americans are believed…
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Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
Posted inStatistics

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don't expect all want to read these posts. So please don't feel like you must. Yet, I…
Read More
Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
Posted inStatistics

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

There are two new claims from last week that artificial general intelligence (AGI) has been reached, as detailed in Tree of Woe's recent article on the subject. One claim is…
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  1. JR Ewing on Lancet Discovers Public Health Is PoliticsMarch 16, 2026

    "For these crimes, our rulers paid no price. Not directly." ----------------------- It depresses me when I think about it, so…

  2. NLR on On Not ReadingMarch 15, 2026

    quote from Idonotreadcomments: "everything men create is derivative of what came before us. There are no stories that have not…

  3. Rudolph Harrier on On Not ReadingMarch 14, 2026

    Idonotreadcomments: you are making the wrong observation from bookstores. Certainly that sort of smut is plentiful in bookstores, and this…

  4. Nym Coy on On Not ReadingMarch 13, 2026

    Might I interest you in a book? It is called Mumbai Singularity, and it is a mythic cyberpunk detective thriller…

  5. Uncle Mike on Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)March 12, 2026

    The probability of significant "climate change" in equatorial Africa is very small because most climate change occurs at the poles.…

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