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Latest Articles
The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example
June 16, 2025
Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
June 12, 2025
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
June 11, 2025
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
June 10, 2025
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
June 9, 2025
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!
June 5, 2025
Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
June 4, 2025
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
June 3, 2025
Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
June 2, 2025
Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters
May 29, 2025
IQ Is Not Intelligence
May 28, 2025
What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?
May 27, 2025
Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula
May 22, 2025
Blacks Have Black Fatigue: Who Is At Fault?
May 21, 2025
A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: Food
May 20, 2025
What Are The Chances…A Women Survives Cancer 4 Times To Be Killed By “Random” Bullet?
May 19, 2025
Class 50: Independence Versus Irrelevance
May 15, 2025
The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An Academic
May 14, 2025
Eggs and ‘PFAS-Easter’ or Selling Fear on the Day of Resurrection — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
May 13, 2025
Academics Call Pregnancy A Disease
May 12, 2025
Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models
May 8, 2025
Posted inStatistics

The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example

Posted by By Briggs June 16, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters

Posted by By Briggs June 12, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Is Pure Truth

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Last time…
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Posted inCulture

If The Constitution Is A Living Document, It Can Die

On this glorious Fourth of July in these once United States, it's well to remember that every living thing dies. And the Constitution, progressives say, is a "living document." Since…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Laudato Si: “The Curate’s Egg.” The Excellent Parts I. Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Bob Kurland provides us good start to our holiday weekend. (1) He [the Pope] cannot speak as a private theologian but in his official capacity as vicar of Christ and…
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Posted inCulture

Notes On Our War. Never Give Up! Never Surrender! More Updates

https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/616622719740719104 We're in the midst of a spiritual (call it political if you need to) war, one for which ultimate victory is assured, but one for which it is just…
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Posted inStatistics

Cheating With Polls Down Under. Guest Post by Stephen Dawson

Today's post is from our friend Stephen Dawson, who writes at hifi-writer.com. I scheduled this in advance, knowing I'd be suffering jet lag. Professor Will Steffen from the Australian National…
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Posted inStatistics

The Need To Believe In “The Solution” To Global Warming

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HgM1yhwj1mg Travel day, plus I wanted to have this on its own anyway. Speech given at the Tenth International Conference on Climate Change, June 12, 2015 in Washington, DC. The…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

128 Million Bigots (Including Your Mother): Gmarriage By The Numbers. Updates

Your Mother Is Evil Latest Gallup survey showed about 40% of citizens did not support gmarriage. According to gmarriage supporters, those who oppose gmarriage are bigots. Since mostly older people…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Stream: Why Gmarriage Is Worse Than You Think

Today's post is at The Stream: Why Gmarriage is Worse than You Think: The government can only reinvent marriage when we believe that men can be gods. Before we begin,…
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  1. Briggs on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 16, 2025

    Paul, You're right. It sucked. I'm redoing. JH, Very well. Construct for us a model that does not do what…

  2. Paul murphy on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 16, 2025

    Ok, maybe I need more coffee but I found that very confusing - too much I think that you think…

  3. JH on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 16, 2025

    The mathematical result from the Di Finetti's 0-1 Representation Theorem discussed here tells us, under the assumption of exchangeability (which…

  4. spudjr60 on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 16, 2025

    Well, it is a good thing, that I know beyond any doubt that all conspiracy theories are false. And, I…

  5. hudbwu on Over-Certainty Of Polygenic ScoresJune 11, 2025

    I stopped midway to write this comment. What exactly is the difference between polygenic scores and two-layer neural networks? Other…

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