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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition
June 17, 2025
The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example
June 16, 2025
Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
June 12, 2025
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
June 11, 2025
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
June 10, 2025
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
June 9, 2025
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!
June 5, 2025
Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
June 4, 2025
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
June 3, 2025
Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
June 2, 2025
Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters
May 29, 2025
IQ Is Not Intelligence
May 28, 2025
What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?
May 27, 2025
Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula
May 22, 2025
Blacks Have Black Fatigue: Who Is At Fault?
May 21, 2025
A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: Food
May 20, 2025
What Are The Chances…A Women Survives Cancer 4 Times To Be Killed By “Random” Bullet?
May 19, 2025
Class 50: Independence Versus Irrelevance
May 15, 2025
The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An Academic
May 14, 2025
Eggs and ‘PFAS-Easter’ or Selling Fear on the Day of Resurrection — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
May 13, 2025
Academics Call Pregnancy A Disease
May 12, 2025
Posted inStatistics

The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition

Posted by By Briggs June 17, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example

Posted by By Briggs June 16, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Hypothesis Testing Relies On The Fallacy Of False Dichotomy

Classical hypothesis testing is founded on the fallacy of the false dichotomy. The false dichotomy says of two hypotheses that if one hypothesis is false, the other must be true.…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: More On God’s Omniscience

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. The reading…
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Posted inCulture

Arguing About Climate Is Largely Pointless

Regular readers will already know that arguing with climate-of-doom True Believers is pointless. Don't bother. A for instance. When my piece appeared at Crisis on the Pontifical Academy for Science's…
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Posted inCulture

British Elections Open Thread. The Return of Nationalism?

We haven't discussed much the elections of our English-speaking cousins, but it's worth doing because of how this one played out. Particularly in its nationalistic aspects. Ed Miliband, Labour, a…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

The Purposeful Lowering Of Physical Standards: More Consequences Of Egalitarianism

Remember how we were told that when women joined the military there was no danger of lowering standards to accommodate them? Letting them join was a question of "fairness", which…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Kids Raised By Parents Creates Unfair Advantages, Inequality: A Consequence Of Egalitarianism

The deadliest, most destructive, and dumbest philosophical idea of all time is egalitarianism. It says not that all things are equal, but that they should be. A good case can…
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Posted inStatistics

Will Climate Change Kill One-Sixth Of All Species?

Today's headline was prompted by Mark Urban's peer-reviewed paper in Science "Accelerating extinction risk from climate change", which assures us that if we don't "do something", this is the end…
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Posted inCulture

Columbia University Concludes All Western Civilization Triggering

Word from Columbia University is that yet another female creature was triggered. Our victim was in her "Lit Hum" class---Columbia is, and soon to be "was", one of the few…
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  1. John W. Garrett on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025

    Yikes. Maybe the Rockefellers, the Hewletts, the Packards, Jeremy Grantham, Eric & Wendy Schmidt, the Waltons, Leo DiCaprio, Mike Bloomberg…

  2. cdquarles on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025

    There was a wise politician who warned us about the government-media-academia complex over 60 years ago. That's right, the other…

  3. McChuck on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025

    Remember, kids, a scientist is nothing more than an academic with a lab coat. Academics are people who have been…

  4. NLR on The Hubris Of Experts: NIH EditionJune 17, 2025

    Certainly, the science-industrial-government-university complex is corrupt. The criticism of it is all warranted. But even worse than expensive and frivolous…

  5. Briggs on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 16, 2025

    Paul, You're right. It sucked. I'm redoing. JH, Very well. Construct for us a model that does not do what…

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