William M. Briggs

The Gaia Hypothesis Is Either Trivial And Useless Or False And Ridiculous

Hans Schellnhuber is an adviser to the Vatican's Pontifical Academy of Sciences. In the peer-reviewed Nature paper "Climbing the co-evolution ladder" (431, 913 (21 October 2004)) he and two co-authors…

Statistics

Idols With Wee P Values. Statistics As Ritual

Or, rather, wee p-values are idolized. And it isn't just me saying so. Reader Dan Hughes points us to Gerd Gigerenzer and Julian Marewski's peer-reviewed paper "Surrogate Science: The Idol…

Culture

Stream: Pope Francis’s Dr. Strangelove Craves One World Government

Today's post is at The Stream: Pope Francis' Dr. Strangelove Craves One World Government Run by "Experts": Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, the scientist behind Laudato Si, is an activist for a…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Is Pure Truth

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Last time…

Culture

If The Constitution Is A Living Document, It Can Die

On this glorious Fourth of July in these once United States, it's well to remember that every living thing dies. And the Constitution, progressives say, is a "living document." Since…

Culture Philosophy

Laudato Si: “The Curate’s Egg.” The Excellent Parts I. Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Bob Kurland provides us good start to our holiday weekend. (1) He [the Pope] cannot speak as a private theologian but in his official capacity as vicar of Christ and…

Culture

Notes On Our War. Never Give Up! Never Surrender! More Updates

https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/616622719740719104 We're in the midst of a spiritual (call it political if you need to) war, one for which ultimate victory is assured, but one for which it is just…

Statistics

Cheating With Polls Down Under. Guest Post by Stephen Dawson

Today's post is from our friend Stephen Dawson, who writes at hifi-writer.com. I scheduled this in advance, knowing I'd be suffering jet lag. Professor Will Steffen from the Australian National…

The Errors of Mr. Coffin on the PP signature and Apostolic Blessings – Roma Locuta Est on Munus, Ministerium & Pope Emeritus Benedict — Guest Post by Fr John RickertMay 16, 2026
[…] However, for the record I will note that myself and others (e.g., Ryan Grant, and Fr. John Rickert, HERE…
John Pate on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 14, 2026
You haven't given any information the beast sizes of the women involved, this being an important factor (as demonstrated by…
JRob on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 14, 2026
Wow, Wow, Wow! Someone else used the exaggeration method! Years ago I tried to figure out the Monte Hall problem…
McChuck on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 13, 2026
There is a simpler, less math-intensive solution that gives the same answer. Knowing that it doesn't take two men to…
R W Pearson on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026
This is easy, go in the door he came out. Worse case only one young scold to give you a…

William M. Briggs

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

The Gaia Hypothesis Is Either Trivial And Useless Or False And Ridiculous

Idols With Wee P Values. Statistics As Ritual

Stream: Pope Francis’s Dr. Strangelove Craves One World Government

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Is Pure Truth

If The Constitution Is A Living Document, It Can Die

Laudato Si: “The Curate’s Egg.” The Excellent Parts I. Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Notes On Our War. Never Give Up! Never Surrender! More Updates

Cheating With Polls Down Under. Guest Post by Stephen Dawson

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification