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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
February 26, 2026
Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
February 24, 2026
The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
February 23, 2026
Class 79: Time Series Example
February 19, 2026
The Importance Of Not Making Decisions
February 18, 2026
Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously
February 17, 2026
AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic
February 16, 2026
Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
February 12, 2026
Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
February 11, 2026
Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
February 10, 2026
Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
February 9, 2026
Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
February 4, 2026
Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
February 3, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

Posted by By Briggs March 12, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

On Not Reading

Posted by By Briggs March 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom: Nervous Sheep & Intolerant Irish

https://twitter.com/LADFLEG/status/602012010470080512 Return of the snakes As of this writing, Ireland has voted 60%-ish to allow two men or two women---and only two at this point; arbitrary discrimination, no?---to pretend to…
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Posted inCulture

Gay-conversion Therapy Bans And The Origin Of Homosexual

When "gay" or "homosexual" meant somebody who predominately engaged in same-sex activities, the words had some use, but with an inherent and real danger that people, via this language, would…
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Posted inCulture

Ireland’s Same-Sex Gmarriage Vote: Or, The Snakes Return?

Update See Saturday's post for results. Dublin Archbishop Diarmuid Martin has "no wish to stuff [his] religious views down other people's throats"---is that done with a shillelagh?---and so he won't…
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Posted inStatistics

Are Wars And Violence Decreasing? Taleb’s New Paper Reviewed

The vale of tears I've been asked by several people to comment on Pasquale Cirillo and Nassim Nicholas Taleb's paper (thankfully, not peer-reviewed, unless you count this) "On the tail…
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Posted inCulture

Democracy And The Global Warming Consensus—And That New Arizona Survey

Guy named Jonathan Overpeck who makes a living ensuring people are nervous about global warming conducted a survey of Arizona residents and discovered three-fourths of them are nervous about global…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Vote For Transhumanist Zoltan Istvan For President: It’s The Intelligent Thing To Do

I normally don't vote in presidential elections because the choices are between flavors of progressivism---D-type, R-type, etc.---and I desire none. But scrappy "transhumanist" Zoltan Istvan has changed my mind. He…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Knows All At Same Instant

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. God is…
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Posted inCulture

This Week In Doom: Grade Deflation

This week's doom: "higher" education, art, and sex. Racism's return It may be time to rethink the idea of academic freedom. Seems this professor blurted out a series of racist…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)March 12, 2026

    The probability of significant "climate change" in equatorial Africa is very small because most climate change occurs at the poles.…

  2. C-Marie on On Not ReadingMarch 12, 2026

    Well, I do knpw that Malchi Martin and David McCullough were great authors.... The Final Conclave and John Adams, respectively.…

  3. NLR on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026

    People have a variety of different reading habits. So the best thing to accommodate that is to preserve a variety…

  4. Johnno on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026

    Briggs, have you tried ONE PIECE ?

  5. Eyrie on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026

    Yep, finding the same thing. Unfortunately many of the good authors have died. We lost Michael F Flynn a couple…

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