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$7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?
July 23, 2026
Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap Hanekamp
July 22, 2026
Believing In God Makes You Crave Potato Chips, Say Academics
July 20, 2026
Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective Ethics
July 15, 2026
University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEing
July 13, 2026
The Equality Paradox
July 9, 2026
My Horrible Interaction With AI
July 8, 2026
SOON
July 7, 2026
The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
July 6, 2026
Happy Birthday to US
July 2, 2026
Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)
July 1, 2026
Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!
June 29, 2026
The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David Stove
June 25, 2026
Marbles!
June 23, 2026
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
Posted inStatistics

$7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?

Posted by By Briggs July 23, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap Hanekamp

Posted by By Briggs July 22, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Logic Puzzle That Is “Stumping The Internet.” Update: Now With Solution

The Washington Post thinks the puzzle above is hideously difficult and says that it has become an "obsession". The writer there certainly finds it sweat-inducing: "As the problem spread far…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Space’s 10 Mistakes People Make When Arguing Science

Reader Ken pointed us to Space.com's click-me-click-me! article "The 10 Mistakes People Make When Arguing Science". Since everybody loves numbered lists, I'll duplicate their efforts here, using their mistakes. Isn't…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

On Remaining Quiet In Time Of War

Those who are unwilling to hold this is true will be subject to those who will. Those who cannot defend their beliefs must accept the rule of those who do.…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God’s Understanding Is His Essence

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We're entering…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Miracles-Don’t-Exist-So-Miracles-Don’t-Exist Argument

https://www.youtube.com/watch?t=69&v=0d4FHHf00pY Say something nice: the Miracles-Don't-Exist-So-Miracles-Don't-Exist argument is conditionally true. If miracles are impossible, miracles, it follows logically, don't happen. No escaping the iron cladedness of that (you heard me:…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Masters Statistics & (Some) Predictions

Here's a view of the winning scores from par since the inception of the tournament. The early years saw little variability, but since the 60s there were a lot more…
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Posted inStatistics

P-Value Hacking Is Finally Being Noticed

Since I'm on the road, all typos today are free of charge. Some reasonably good news to report. A peer-reviewed paper: "The fickle P value generates irreproducible results" by Lewis…
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Posted inFun

Discuss

I'm on the road---and in a chair.
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…

  2. Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…

  3. Steve on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Add a few more priors and the odds skyrocket. 7/11 knew about the July 11 thing -- it says right…

  4. Tars Tarkas on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If you can, can you do the example of the Hooker Chemical Love Canal allegedly random cancer cluster in children?…

  5. Tim on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    I enjoyed this discussion. I am very interested in hearing you gentlemen continue discussing nitrogen.

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