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William M. Briggs

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Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models
May 8, 2025
Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?
May 7, 2025
Reproducibility Crises Will Be Forever With Us Until We Abandon Classical Statistics
May 6, 2025
AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor Lie
May 5, 2025
Class 48: What Is A Model?
May 1, 2025
I’m Going To Sue Scientists Who Gave Me Apoplexy Over Claims Of Climate Liability
April 30, 2025
Researchers Tell Models To Say People Will Die Without Your Money
April 29, 2025
The Sun Made To Set On The British Empire – Via Science!
April 28, 2025
Class 47: Billions Of Models!
April 24, 2025
A New Physics Arises: Irreducible by Federico Faggin Reviewed
April 22, 2025
Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested
April 21, 2025
Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness
April 17, 2025
The Educational Empire Strikes Back
April 16, 2025
Can Jinn & The Evil Eye Cause Disease?
April 15, 2025
Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active
April 14, 2025
Class 45: The False Hope Of Falsification
April 10, 2025
New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s Look
April 9, 2025
A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence
April 8, 2025
Power Restored, Posts To Resume
April 7, 2025
No posts, class. No power, no internet
April 1, 2025
MIT Scientists Trying To Invent Zombies
March 31, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In Models

Posted by By Briggs May 8, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?

Posted by By Briggs May 7, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Decadence Data: Or, A Doomed Demos Dances

All of these indicators of our quickening hoot-hollering yeah-baby! slide into the muck made the news on the same day. We dare not cast our net wider for fear of…
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Posted inStatistics

Time Series Aren’t Easy: Tornado Deaths Example

Time series are the most abused statistics in the physical sciences. (It's an endless, raucous, peer-reviewed contest for the worst in the "soft sciences.") The Mann problem (is that a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Physical Probability Doesn’t Exist

There have been many attempts to tie probability to physical chance. Here, briefly and for discussion, is why I think all of them fail. Ontology does not recapitulate epistemology Let…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

True Reason: Confronting the Irrationality of the New Atheism Reviewed

Answer me honestly. How rational is it to believe any of the following: Science can explain everything, even itself; The reason anything exists is because of the laws of gravity,…
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Posted inCulture

Trigger Warnings And The Feminismization Of America

Update New & Improved title! I think it was Clint Eastwood who, as Dirty Harry, gave the world's most famous trigger warning: I know what you're thinking: "Did he fire…
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Posted inCulture

Global Warming Update: Titanic Sunk! Contest Update: Other Historical Events. Update: Not Me!

Been a while since I looked out the climate window, because why? Because I figured there'd be nothing to see. After two decades of failed forecasts I assumed most modelers…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Animals Suing People, People Suing Animals: Lawyers Rejoice

An increasing crime rate Regular readers will know both of my deep interest in animal rights and in the law. This is why, as a side business, but always pro…
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Posted inCulture

Punishment Of Pre-Thoughtcrime On The Rise: You Could Be Next

Certain Canadians have been tried, convicted, and sentenced for pre-thoughtcrime. Bound to have happened, you will say, especially given events such as the howling drooling hate-filled mob that terrorized Brandon…
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  1. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

  2. Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025

    What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…

  3. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  4. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

  5. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Is there evidence that people believe probabilities, parameters, or mathematical objects exist physically in nature? The fact that mathematicians use…

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