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All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False
Posted inStatistics

All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False

Here's a typical recent propaganda headline: "Climate change made Libya flooding 50 times more likely: Report." This is not so. Here's another recent one from PBS: "Climate change made global…
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Weeping & Gnashing Of Teeth From Our Paper Saying “Climate Change” Not A Big Deal
Posted inPodcast Statistics

Weeping & Gnashing Of Teeth From Our Paper Saying “Climate Change” Not A Big Deal

That peer-reviewed, and therefore indisputable, paper we wrote showing, as many have showed, that "climate change" is overblown has been getting a lot of publicity. Before we come to that,…
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The Probability Of A Head In A Coin Flip Is 1, Not 1/2
Posted inStatistics

The Probability Of A Head In A Coin Flip Is 1, Not 1/2

My dad and I built a coin flipping machine. Then made this video (you might have to click the link): LINK FIXED. Link, because the embedding is not working. https://youtu.be/8XX0iRAN--8…
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Modern The Science & The Unpersoning Of Evidence
Posted inStatistics

Modern The Science & The Unpersoning Of Evidence

There is no typo in the title. We are discussing The Science, and not science. Science-sans-article is chugging along, doing okay there, and poorly there, the whole decaying for all…
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Experts: Take The Children, Make Them Gay, The Parents Should Not, Have A Say
Posted inStatistics

Experts: Take The Children, Make Them Gay, The Parents Should Not, Have A Say

So there's this pervert high school tennis coach in Gettysburg, a man named Yates, who enjoys going into the girl's locker room and watching them undress and shower. Some of…
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Proof That Scientists Are Model Blind Discovered In Claim One Billion Will Die From “Climate Change”
Posted inStatistics

Proof That Scientists Are Model Blind Discovered In Claim One Billion Will Die From “Climate Change”

I stupidly sent out two posts today. Those who received the second won't get it again tomorrow. Apologies. Headline: "Scientists Warn 1 Billion People on Track to Die From Climate…
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Warming in Terms of Human and Natural Factors
Posted inStatistics

Warming in Terms of Human and Natural Factors

Today's title is adapted from the peer-reviewed paper "The Detection and Attribution of Northern Hemisphere Land Surface Warming (1850–2018) in Terms of Human and Natural Factors: Challenges of Inadequate Data",…
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Scientists Use The Double-Dog Epidemiologist Fallacy To Claim Breathing Induces Antibiotic Resistance
Posted inStatistics

Scientists Use The Double-Dog Epidemiologist Fallacy To Claim Breathing Induces Antibiotic Resistance

Thanks to AS! I don't have your email, so I hope you see this. The epidemiologist fallacy occurs when a scientist announces, directly or implicitly, that X Causes Y, but…
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  1. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 16, 2025

    John, I asked a THEORETICAL question. Pointing out that there are real-world options is MEANINGLESS to my question. How about…

  2. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 16, 2025

    Eschenbach, card counting was arrived at by an empirically derived process. That's not the same as having bogus statistical theories…

  3. hudbwu on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 16, 2025

    I like how it's implied nuking from orbit is a lesser strike than defunding. :)

  4. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 16, 2025

    John, you say: "Try a different Aunt Sally, Eschenbach: an actual physical dice is an object that can be examined…

  5. John Pate on The Dysgenics Of IVFNovember 15, 2025

    The technocrats are unconcerned: they claim they can fix it all via gene editing, or maybe embryo selection, but anyway…

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