Lots of people are asking me about Douglas Keenan’s challenge to identify which time series meets a certain criterion. If our betters are as good as they say at identifying signals in […]
Keenan’s $100-Grand Climate Challenge & Randomness
FiveThirtyEight Weighs In With Some Odd Affirmative Action Statistics
FiveThirtyEight ran the piece “Here’s What Happens When You Ban Affirmative Action In College Admissions” that ran some dicey stats. Affirmative Action is, as all know, the practice of rewarding somebody for […]
Tide Gauge Locations And Sea Level Rise, Some Statistical Concerns
Marcel Crok asked me to comment on the peer-reviewed paper “Tide gauge location and the measurement of global sea level rise” Beenstock (yes) and others in the journal Environmental and Ecological Statistics. […]
It’s World Statistics Day! Death To P-Values, Hypothesis Tests, And False Ascriptions Of Cause! #StatsDay15
Who said the UN doesn’t do anything useful? Courtesy of that august body, it’s World Statistics Day! Official statistics help decision makers develop informed policies that impact millions of people. Improved data […]
Some Like It Hot: The Hottest Year Ever Inside A Global Warming “Pause”? The Stream. Updates
I rarely ask this, but I’d like you all to go The Stream and pass my article on to as many as you can. (Don’t link here, but link at The Stream.) […]
Netherlands Temperature Controversy: Or, Yet Again, How Not To Do Time Series
Today, a lovely illustration of all the errors in handling time series we have been discussing for years. I’m sure that after today nobody will make these mistakes ever again. (Actually, I […]
The IPCC’s And McKitrick’s “Hiatus” Time Series Models
Several readers asked me to look at Ross McKitrick’s paper “HAC-Robust Measurement of the Duration of a Trendless Subsample in a Global Climate Time Series”, which is receiving the usual internet peer-reviewing […]
The Four Errors in Mann et al’s “The Likelihood of Recent Record Warmth”
Michael E. Mann and four others published the peer-reviewed paper “The Likelihood of Recent Record Warmth” in Nature: Scientific Reports (DOI: 10.1038/srep19831). I shall call this authors of this paper “Mann” for […]
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