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Posted inStatistics

Iowa Caucus Open Discussion. Update: Text Fixed, Those Coin Tosses Discussed

https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/694224471712878592 That tweet was my prediction early yesterday, which I made partly relying on polls but more on the size of the crowds those two men garnered. About those polls,…
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Posted inStatistics

Cheating With Polls Down Under. Guest Post by Stephen Dawson

Today's post is from our friend Stephen Dawson, who writes at hifi-writer.com. I scheduled this in advance, knowing I'd be suffering jet lag. Professor Will Steffen from the Australian National…
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Posted inCulture Fun Philosophy Statistics

Stephen Hawking Thinks Too Much Of Us; More

Autumn of the Modern Ages What!? You haven't headed over to Mike Flynn's place and read his series The Autumn of the Modern Ages? Sometimes I don't understand you people…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Regression Really Is: Part II

Read Part I Let's continue our example. Suppose our regression shows that the probability of a Hate score greater than 5 is 60% for men and 80% for women---for people…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Global Warming Hanger-On Says Ends Justify The Means

A question from the new SAT in Reading Comprehension was leaked: "'The students rushed the platform to prevent the speaker from speaking.' Were these students, (A) progressives, or (B) conservatives?"…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Observational Versus Controlled Trials

Received this email from a reader: I took on board all I read on your website, and it has created confusion in my mind. I have been reading Ioannidis and…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

My Genes Made Me Vote For Obama: Predisposed Reviewed

Predisposed: Liberals, Conservatives, and the Biology of Political Differences by John Hibbing, Kevin Smith, and John Alford. If a conservative is a person who clings to what is, who resists…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Wisdom Of The Crowds (And Voting)

Have you heard of Mesd-su-Re? One of the participants of the Great Harem Conspiracy under Ramses III? Probably not. But I need to know the length of his nose right…
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  1. KGB on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 5, 2025

    Cole's article, while reading like the diary of a jilted 7th grade girl, is the very embodiment of crying out…

  2. Briggs on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 4, 2025

    John W, Garrett, You are welcome.

  3. Richard S. on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    I'm sorry but must correct the record. I have been a radio fan since the early 1960s -- AM, FM,…

  4. John W. Garrett on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 4, 2025

    S.Sgt Briggs, Thanks for this near-perfect example of sophistry and thimble-rigging.

  5. Briggs on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    JDinPA, CCReed, I see Cole's accusations, but he offers no proof. If he has it, he ought to give it.…

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