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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Difference Between Essential And Empirical Models

I was having a back-and-forth with a colleague on modeling types (see this post for a modeling hierarchy) and falsifiability. It's crucial we distinguish essential and empirical models, but first…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Decision Analysis Isn’t Straightforward

Vast subject, decision analysis, but we can get a grip on a corner of it if we consider the simplest of problems, the do-don't do, yes-no, gonna happen-ain't gonna happen,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Bayesian Metaphor Can Do More Harm Than Good: Update

Quoting from a post on vampires, "In Bayesian inference, you start with some initial beliefs (called 'Bayesian priors' or just 'priors'), and then you 'update' them as you receive new…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Is Truth And Evidence In Medicine Fascist? Update: Yes.

See what you think of this peer-reviewed paper by Dave Holmes in the International Journal of Evidence Based Healthcare called "Deconstructing the evidence-based discourse in health sciences: truth, power and…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Formal Logic And Probability

One of the arguments is that probability does not extend predicate logic, but does extend propositional logic. The concern is that because predicate logic is formal and propositional logic is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability & Statistics Cannot Prove Cause

Correlation I was at the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness conference in Ontario (LA) California and gave my paper The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause, which…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Is It Moral To Use Embryonic Stem Cells In Cancer Therapy?

From an anonymous reader comes this question: Situation: Doctor is referring me to an oncologist because I may have Myeloma. Note that I have not yet gone for additional screening.…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Are We Special? New Thoughts about the Anthropic Principle — Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Editor's note This post first appeared at Kurland's home site. My criticisms follow. "Scientists are slowly waking up to an inconvenient truth - the universe looks suspiciously like a fix.…
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