William M. Briggs

House Of Representatives Suspends Constitution For Its Favorite Victim Group – TWID

A seemingly busy Week In Doom these past seven days. But it was mostly for show, I think, as we'll see. Good News First! Item: Joe Biden has finally found…

Statistics

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…

Philosophy

Woke Call Speaking Undesirable Truths Epistemic Violence

Silence, they say---and they do say this---is violence. So is speaking violence. At least when the words spoken express disagreement with woke local truths, which is to say, with woke…

Statistics

The Man In Charge Of The Vatican Says You’re A Fool If You Don’t Believe Athletes Will Run 0.006 Seconds Faster Per Degree Temperature Increase

In my long studied career of insolence and rough defense of Reality, not to mention my general constitutive abrasiveness---I was "born that way"---I have been called every variety of choice…

Class

Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble This week I really could have benefited from seeing people's reactions. Ah, well. HOMEWORK It is true that "If p then…

Statistics

Student Protests To End After Finals: TWID

I changed the title to put TWID = The Week In Doom at the end. I did this long ago, too, and found it answered. Hilarity Ensues Students, by definition,…

Fun

Look Here, @elonmusk, What Mendacious Hack Or Incompetent Flack Murdered This Tweet?

For amusement, my friends, and strictly to have a bit of fun, if you have a Twitter ("X") account, please use the link below to tweet this post, so that…

Culture

Women Celebrate As Their Chance To Become A Victim On Campus Just Skyrocketed

Women---not all but a good number of women, that is---hunger to be Victims. This allows them both status, for ours is increasingly a culture that holds Victims in the highest…

R W Pearson on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026
This is easy, go in the door he came out. Worse case only one young scold to give you a…
Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026
I asked an AI, and it had the same answer as me but with silly Bayes equations. Then out of…
Johnno on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 12, 2026
We should make it a law that whenever a criminal is sentened to death, that the only method to delay…
Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026
Definitely pick the door that the Boomer just left. There are three Boomers, so the probability that the one you…
Cary D Cotterman on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026
I don't know or have the patience for the math, or whatever it takes, to do this right. I figure…

William M. Briggs

The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

House Of Representatives Suspends Constitution For Its Favorite Victim Group – TWID

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

Woke Call Speaking Undesirable Truths Epistemic Violence

The Man In Charge Of The Vatican Says You’re A Fool If You Don’t Believe Athletes Will Run 0.006 Seconds Faster Per Degree Temperature Increase

Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic

Student Protests To End After Finals: TWID

Look Here, @elonmusk, What Mendacious Hack Or Incompetent Flack Murdered This Tweet?

Women Celebrate As Their Chance To Become A Victim On Campus Just Skyrocketed

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification