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Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake
Posted inClass Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…
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The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves
Posted inStatistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…
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Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Posted inStatistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
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Posted inStatistics

Over-Certainty Is One Of The Main Causes Of Bad Science: Brain Volume & IQ Example

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Don't miss…
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National Association of Scholars: Is Science Broken? (Make a guess!)
Posted inPodcast Statistics

National Association of Scholars: Is Science Broken? (Make a guess!)

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Last week…
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Excess Deaths “Attributed To Heat And Cold”
Posted inStatistics

Excess Deaths “Attributed To Heat And Cold”

The National Association of Scholars is hosting a webinar today, 3 PM EST: Is Science Broken? featuring Yours Truly. Free, but you have to register. Recall there is no such…
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Climate The Science Causes Blindness
Posted inStatistics

Climate The Science Causes Blindness

The average daily temperature in Singapore is 88 degrees. Or, in barbarian units, 31. Every day of the year. Here's the headline: "Now scientists say climate change is making us…
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The Broken Science Initiative Podcast Has Commenced!
Posted inPodcast Statistics

The Broken Science Initiative Podcast Has Commenced!

Here's the main link. Most, and maybe even all, the platforms you use are linked. Or you can even listen at the site itself. The episodes I recorded are mostly…
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  1. Johnno on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    I'm panicking about the people who believe enthusiastically in the capabilities of the AI that the other people are panicking…

  2. Rudolph Harrier on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    I've started thinking of this as the "juice loosener problem" (after the Simpsons bit where Dr. Nick hawks an orange…

  3. Cary D Cotterman on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    After spending years in school doing my own writing, then decades in my profession busting my ass to write somewhere…

  4. Uncle Mike on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    AI isn't the entity smoothing the data. The alleged decline in Arctic sea ice was a key assertion in Algore's…

  5. JH on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 10, 2026

    The definition of cause can vary, and each incident may have its causes or contributing factors. I see coincidences as…

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