Here’s a common, classical statistics problem. Uncle Ted’s chain of Kill ’em and Grill ’em Venison Burgers tested two ad campaigns, A and B, and measured the sales of sausage sandwiches for […]
Why most statistics don’t mean what you think they do: Part I.
Hurricanes have not increased in the North Atlantic
My paper on this subject will finally appear in the Journal of Climate soon. You can see it’s status (temporarily, anyway) at this link. You can download the paper here. The gist […]
The Algebra of Probable Inference: Richard T. Cox
This is a lovely, lovely book and I can’t believe it has taken me this long to find and read it (November 2005: I was lead to this book via Jaynes, who […]
How to Exaggerate Your Results: Case study #1
In the Tuesday, 6 November 2007 edition of the Wall Street Journal, Pfizer took out a full-page ad encouraging people to “Ask your doctor” about Lipitor, a drug which claims to lower […]
Celebrities can teach us everything we need to know
Save the animals!
The Rationality of Induction: David Stove
Is deductive logic empirical? No. Is inductive logic also empirical? No. Is induction justified and, if so, is it just an extension of logic? Yes. These are Stove’s conclusions as he takes […]
Oh, for a carreau!
I have been playing the game of petanque for several years now. You may have seen its modified Italian form called bocce. Both games are similar, but whereas in bocce the players […]
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