Unleash the polls! No, I don’t mean the men who bravely served under Grand Duke of Lithuania Władysław II Jagiełło (free bad joke of the day!), but those election omens which nowadays […]
What’s The Official Name For Governance By Thuggery?
To summarize what we know, but only in brief and leaving out many smaller scandals: The White House lied about the cause of Benghazi. They knowingly, willingly, and falsely claimed the attacks […]
Damn Straight News: Manly Men More Likely To Be Conservative
As will come as absolutely no surprise to regular readers, but will be a traumatic revelation to the public at large, it has finally been acknowledged in the peer-reviewed literature that the […]
Intrade’s Record In Picking Presidents: Is There Market Manipulation?
An “influential forecast” is one in which knowledge of the prediction changes the uncertainty in the thing being predicted. Consider a (respected) political opinion poll which announces Candidate B has an 85% […]
Nate Silver’s Obama Prediction: What Does It Mean?
It was Sophocles who first noted the truism, “No one loves the messenger who brings bad news.” But the converse is also true. As it is written (in Romans 10:15), “How beautiful […]
Does Barack Obama Have A Mandate? A Look At The Numbers
How important was Barack Obama’s victory? By what measure can he be said to have secured a “mandate”? How does his election compares to others? And how do voters in this election […]
Many Lie About Their Support Of Gay Marriage: Study
Thanks to New York Times’s (yes) Russ Douthat who alerted us to the paper “Findings from a Decade of Polling on Ballot Measures Regarding the Legal Status of Same Sex Couples” by […]
There Is No Such Thing As A Scientific Poll
There is no such thing as an unscientific one, either. A poll is this: a question or questions that are interpreted and answered by a group of individuals at a given time. […]
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