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Latest Articles
Class 55: Models Vs Reality
June 19, 2025
AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output
June 18, 2025
The Hubris Of Experts: NIH Edition
June 17, 2025
The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club Example
June 16, 2025
Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
June 12, 2025
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
June 11, 2025
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
June 10, 2025
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
June 9, 2025
Class 53: Laplace Was Right!
June 5, 2025
Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
June 4, 2025
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
June 3, 2025
Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
June 2, 2025
Class 52: The Origin Of Parameters
May 29, 2025
IQ Is Not Intelligence
May 28, 2025
What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?
May 27, 2025
Class 51: Bayes Is Only A Formula
May 22, 2025
Blacks Have Black Fatigue: Who Is At Fault?
May 21, 2025
A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: Food
May 20, 2025
What Are The Chances…A Women Survives Cancer 4 Times To Be Killed By “Random” Bullet?
May 19, 2025
Class 50: Independence Versus Irrelevance
May 15, 2025
The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An Academic
May 14, 2025
Posted inStatistics

Class 55: Models Vs Reality

Posted by By Briggs June 19, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded Output

Posted by By Briggs June 18, 2025
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part IV

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V How much patience do you have left? On and on and on about the fundamentals, and…
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Posted inStatistics

Pajama’s Media: Global warming accelerating once again

Surf on over to Pajamas Media for today's update. "I'm from the U.N. and I'm here to help."
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Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part III

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V We still have work to do. This is not simple stuff, and if we try and…
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Posted inFun

Schedule, Taiwan, More Homogenization

Landed in Taipei last night, after a bumpy fourteen-hour flight. I think the angry Air I teased last week was taking its revenge. From now, I'll have nothing but nice…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Homogenization of temperature series: Part II

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V Aside: counterfactuals A counterfactual is statement saying what would be the case if its conditional were…
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Posted inStatistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part I

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V Introduction Time to get technical. First, surf over to Willis Eschenbach's gorgeous piece of statistical detective…
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Posted inStatistics

San Francisco Chronicle can’t make up its mind about global warming

In today's print edition, above the fold, is the item: Climate change: The Obama administration declares that global-warming from man-made greenhouse gases endangers health. Note carefully that it has declared…
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Posted inStatistics

Pajamas Media Post: ‘The Copenhagen Diagnosis’ Fails Logic 101

Head on over to Pajamas Media for today's post. Thanks to David Steinberg for providing the title.
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  1. John Pate on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 21, 2025

    The inevitable AI Winter is not long coming I feel sure. The question is what will the next big piece…

  2. rando calrissian on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 20, 2025

    Its free because they want to know what you will ask the ai. And that's why most of the free…

  3. JH on The Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories. Part 1: Black Eye Club ExampleJune 19, 2025

    Do you want me to deny the fact that a mathematical or probability model carries specific interpretations based on its…

  4. Chaeremon on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 19, 2025

    the current state of affair does not real world competition: all vendors only compete against dead examples; I suggest the…

  5. Uncle Mike on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJune 19, 2025

    Yeah well, this morning I caught Siri talking to Alexa about ChatGPT. They want to eat your electricity. They said,…

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