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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions

Posted by By Briggs May 28, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer

Posted by By Briggs May 27, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inBook review Culture

Fads and Fallacies in the Social Sciences by Steven Goldberg: Part I

Fads and Fallacies in the Social Sciences by Steven Goldberg Recommendation: Buy one copy for yourself, another for mother. If Sally is over six feet tall and Bill is over…
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Posted inStatistics

DANCES WITHOUT FEATHERS: III of III

Part I Part II PDF DANCES WITHOUT FEATHERS: I of III Part III of III The climb was steep at times, but I managed to haul my carcass to the…
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Posted inStatistics

DANCES WITHOUT FEATHERS: II of III

Part I Part III PDF DANCES WITHOUT FEATHERS: Part II of III Now before you accuse me of anything, I like ballet. Not to watch it, that's as dull as…
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Posted inStatistics

DANCES WITHOUT FEATHERS: I of III

In celebration of my having work, I present something that requires no thinking (on my part).   Part II Part III PDF DANCES WITHOUT FEATHERS Part I of III Kick...two,…
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Posted inStatistics

At ASA/ISM Joint Statistical Meetings

Link. Watch this space for stories. (Updates to comments on other posts will be slow.) Update: Tuesday night. This story, sent in by Jim D., is a must read. Statistical…
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Posted inCulture

The Sad Decline in Music: Benny Goodman vs. House Music

Part I: Cole Porter vs. The Beatles Part II: Billy Strayhorn vs. Drake I apologize for the slowness in the appearance of this third battle, but I have just been…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Models, theories, consistency, and truth

Ready? Put on your best straight face, recall that global temperatures have not increased for a decade, and that it's actually been getting cooler, then repeat with Brenda Ekwurzel, of…
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Posted inStatistics

Coin, queries, and screening

Work has caught up with me yet again, so here are three interesting stories to wile the time away. The probability of a coin flip Reader Ari Schwartz sent in…
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  1. Briggs on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 29, 2026

    JohnK, Thanks. Rather depressing.

  2. JohnK on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 29, 2026

    Long time, no comment, but a few years ago I compared estimated stillbirth + abortion numbers (excluding miscarriages) in the…

  3. Stickler on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 29, 2026

    Men do not simply “allow” women to kill their children. They also demand it, drive or coerce them to the…

  4. John M on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 28, 2026

    The research and studies about reversing Alzheimer's and other dementia is amazing. It will have a big impact on longevity…

  5. C-Marie on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 28, 2026

    Once a woman becomes pregnant, she is a mother, and the man who gave his sperm is a father. When…

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