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All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings

Seventy-some researcher groups were given identical data, and asked to investigate an identical question. The groups did not communicate. Details are in the paper "Observing Many Researchers Using the Same…
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The Disparagement Of Epidemiology
Posted inStatistics

The Disparagement Of Epidemiology

I was having an argument with a friend who was on his way to a conference to point out the shortcomings and over-confidence of Evidence Based Medicine (EBM). With EBM,…
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The Five Main Reasons Science Is Broken
Posted inStatistics

The Five Main Reasons Science Is Broken

The five main reasons Science is broken are: 1. Woke & DIE 2. The Expansion Team Effect & Money 3. The Expertocracy 4. Scientism & Scidolatry 5. Bad Philosophy A…
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The Dutch Nitrogen “Crisis” Explained — Jaap Hanekamp Interview
Posted inStatistics

The Dutch Nitrogen “Crisis” Explained — Jaap Hanekamp Interview

Jaap Hanekamp and I discuss the Dutch nitrogen "crisis." Farmers in the Netherlands are unhappy with government wanting to shut them down or reduce their operations, because of a supposed…
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Why “The Science” Settled On “Carbon”
Posted inStatistics

Why “The Science” Settled On “Carbon”

The answer to the question Why "The Science" Settled On "Carbon" is easy. The Science settled on "carbon" because it's easy. See? Easy is the answer, as promised. Now that…
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The Pandemic Is Over, Biden Said. No! We Need It, Experts Said
Posted inStatistics

The Pandemic Is Over, Biden Said. No! We Need It, Experts Said

It's always fun when Biden is not under strict supervision---super vision; apt, that, in our technological age. Were those earplugs? Anyway, when not in the eye, he usually ends up…
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Why Principal Component Analysis Ain’t All That
Posted inStatistics

Why Principal Component Analysis Ain’t All That

My enemies managed to change the spelling of Principal in the title. They are everywhere. Principal Component Analysis There is an extremely popular analytic technique called Principal Component Analysis, or…
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The Non-Wisdom Of Crowds And Voting
Posted inStatistics

The Non-Wisdom Of Crowds And Voting

This post first appeared in modified form on 29 Januarty 2014. It also appears (also modified) in Chapter 4 of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. Have you heard of Mesd-su-Re?…
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  1. Richard on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 9, 2026

    My son-in-law calls these "cosmic coincidences". We share with each other "interesting" or "unusual" ones we've each experienced. Of course,…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 9, 2026

    Funny, I was just thinking about synchronicity...

  3. Jennifer on Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time SeriesMarch 7, 2026

    Ran across this and thought you could be interested: A Combat Scenario-Based Model for Quantifying Ethical Decision?Making in Military AI…

  4. William Wallace on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 6, 2026

    I believe that the anger which creeps into conversations about whether or not AI can become sentiment has nothing to…

  5. NLR on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    I agree with the paper test; like the Chinese room argument, it is a way to illustrate that a mechanical…

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