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Did The Covid Vax, Or Any Vax, Cause ADHD or Autism? Steve Kirsch’s Survey Data Analyzed
Posted inStatistics

Did The Covid Vax, Or Any Vax, Cause ADHD or Autism? Steve Kirsch’s Survey Data Analyzed

This site is mirrored at Substack for those who prefer that format. Introduction Steve Kirsch ran a survey asking parents to say about their kids how many vaccinations of all…
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Experts: The Coronadoom Vax Only Worked If You Got It At Lunch
Posted inStatistics

Experts: The Coronadoom Vax Only Worked If You Got It At Lunch

Nature headline: "Timing matters for COVID vaccine effectiveness: Younger and older people gained greater protection if they had their jabs in the middle of the day." Good joke: "Went from…
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Science Is Self-Perpetuating, Not Self-Correcting: Sea Ice Case Study
Posted inStatistics

Science Is Self-Perpetuating, Not Self-Correcting: Sea Ice Case Study

Headline from 2014: "Expert predicts ice-free Arctic by 2020 as UN releases climate report". Here from NASA is a picture by year of the estimated minimum sea-ice extent, which occurs…
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If You Had To Choose “Ignore Or Believe All Academics On Climate Change”, Which Is Smarter?
Posted inStatistics

If You Had To Choose “Ignore Or Believe All Academics On Climate Change”, Which Is Smarter?

Update See the Twitter thread (and account) for many more examples. NOBODY has been able to find a word yet that Experts haven't tied to "climate change." Got an email…
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The Less You Know About Climate, The More You Cry About Climate
Posted inStatistics

The Less You Know About Climate, The More You Cry About Climate

Some things, the saying goes, are too good to check. Take the peer-reviewed paper "Environmental knowledge is inversely associated with climate change anxiety" by Hannes Zacher and Cort W. Rudolph…
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There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability

Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn't. Bayes is…
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How An AI-Machine Learning-Physics-Sociological-Whatever Model Can Be Good For One Man & Bad For Another
Posted inStatistics

How An AI-Machine Learning-Physics-Sociological-Whatever Model Can Be Good For One Man & Bad For Another

A model---which I do not distinguish between a theory---can be useful to one man and useless to the next. "But Briggs, people don't treat theories the same as models." Right:…
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Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online
Posted inStatistics

Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online

Video Here it is: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLFDjRS_928 And here is Greg's talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6VMcIp21mA Transcript I followed this closely during the speech, but did not adhere to it perfectly. I don't have a…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Politicians Demand “Right” To Be Protected Against AISeptember 14, 2026

    "I think, therefore I am." - ChatGPT Oh no, the robots are coming, the robots are coming! Quick, huddle in…

  2. NLR on Politicians Demand “Right” To Be Protected Against AISeptember 14, 2026

    Neither governments nor megacorporations are trustworthy. Incidentally, these "AI" megacorporations are getting subsidies, data centers being built and the cost…

  3. John Pate on Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-valueSeptember 13, 2026

    Here's one that might work: you have a bunch of samples of a population and you compare the P values…

  4. VVEDNESDAY EDITION – BIG PVLPIT on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 12, 2026

    […] Can We Discuss the ‘Nod of Peace’? – Zelda Caldwell at National Catholic Register10. Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids…

  5. THVRSDAY EDITION – BIG PVLPIT on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 12, 2026

    […] Evil of Anger: Gloria Steinem’s Abortion – Robert B. Greving, J.D., at Crisis Magazine10. Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of…

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