You or I might perhaps be excused if we sometimes toyed with solipsism, especially when we reflect on the utter failure of our writings to produce the smallest effect in the alleged […]
Scrap Statistics, Begin Anew
Johnson’s Revised Standards For Statistical Evidence
Thanks to the many readers who sent me Johnson’s paper, which is here (pdf). Those who haven’t will want to read “Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof“, the material of which […]
Was The UEFA Champions League Draw Rigged?—Bayesian Analysis by Henk Tijms
Henk Tijms, emeritus professor at the Vrije University in Amsterdam, is author of Understanding Probability (excerpt; Amazon at this writing has it for only $31.29, a steal for textbooks). Football (“soccer”) is […]
Bayes Is More Than Probably Right: An Answer To Senn; Part I
Stephen Senn very kindly answered a post I wrote on p-values (Unsignificant Statistics: Or Die P-Value, Die Die Die) by sending me his “You May Believe You Are a Bayesian But You […]
All Probability Is Conditional: An Answer To Senn; Part IV
Read Part III. Still with me? Hope so, because we’re only on the second page of Senn’s article (but don’t fret; we’ll be skipping most of it). Review: in logical-probability Bayes (as […]
On The Probability God Exists
In order not to make the reader sick with jealously, I will not tell him that I sit on the porch on a bright summer morning mere steps away from Lake Michigan—where […]
What Should Philosophers Of Statistics Do?
A while back, far longer than it should have been, D.G. Mayo asked me to stop by her place and comment on a couple of posts. But laziness and excessive travel (primarily […]
Jumping The Infinity Shark: An Answer To Senn; Part Last
Read Part V From his page 55 (as before slightly edited for HTML/LaTex): Consider the case of a binary event where the two outcomes are success, S, or failure F and we […]
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