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How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?
Posted inStatistics

How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?

How'd we do? Put it this way: none of us would have won any awards. Here is the list so you can follow along (perhaps open in a new window).…
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Researchers Who Built Model To Say Vex Saved A Million Lives Announce Vex Saved A Million Lives
Posted inStatistics

Researchers Who Built Model To Say Vex Saved A Million Lives Announce Vex Saved A Million Lives

This is a slow day, with most off the internet, as is right and proper. So I will leave us with this repetition: All models, good or bad, inexpert or…
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We’d Never Be Where We Are Except For Technology — Coronadoom Update CXII
Posted inCulture Statistics

We’d Never Be Where We Are Except For Technology — Coronadoom Update CXII

Increased technology is responsible for the coronadoom bug, panic, and "solutions" tyranny. If our level of technology was less, there would have been no bug, there would have been no…
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Prozac & Its Relatives — Guest Post by Robert Yoho
Posted inStatistics

Prozac & Its Relatives — Guest Post by Robert Yoho

Psychiatry is the drug industry's paradise, as definitions of psychiatric disorders are vague and easy to manipulate. Leading psychiatrists are... at high risk of corruption and, indeed, psychiatrists collect more…
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Readers Wills Himself To Write And Claim We Have No Free Will
Posted inStatistics

Readers Wills Himself To Write And Claim We Have No Free Will

Anon, a sweetheart and buyer of the majestic Everything You Believe Is Wrong, wrote to say my enemies have managed to insert several typos into the book. A not uncommon,…
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We’re Almost Always Right; They’re Almost Always Wrong; Yet They’re Always Believed — Coronadoom Update CXI
Posted inStatistics

We’re Almost Always Right; They’re Almost Always Wrong; Yet They’re Always Believed — Coronadoom Update CXI

I PAT MY BACK Before we begin our main update, allow me to congratulate myself. https://twitter.com/MichaelPSenger/status/1472385507099246592 A screenshot of the picture, in case it disappears, is here. I have said…
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How The Expertocracy Builds Consensus & You Become A Denier
Posted inStatistics

How The Expertocracy Builds Consensus & You Become A Denier

I know the weaknesses of the terms Expert and expertocracy, and am willing to consider all alternatives. An Expert is a person with training and, more importantly, credentials, in an…
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Keep Trying The Vax Strategy Until Dissenters Tire Of Showing It Isn’t Working
Posted inStatistics

Keep Trying The Vax Strategy Until Dissenters Tire Of Showing It Isn’t Working

This is Update CX. https://twitter.com/Babygravy9/status/1470512309181296643 Conspiracy theorists: 27, Woke: 0. VAX SIDE EFFECTS I've been asked by a reader to give a simpler summary than the simple (but still complex)…
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  1. Al on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 18, 2025

    It wasn’t a blunder.

  2. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 18, 2025

    John, you seem to be operating under the misunderstanding that I asked you a question or that I care about…

  3. Johnno on Masking Morality With Science: Men Pretending To Be Women In SportsNovember 17, 2025

    What is to be done? Accelerate it! Let the transgenders march through all the women's institutions to outcompete and purge…

  4. Johnno on In Which An Atheist Becomes Sputteringly Angry Over Theist’s ArgumentNovember 17, 2025

    Well Cary, the problem is that before you see God we are all very certain you are going to spend…

  5. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025

    Willis, I'm trying to get you to think differently, not be antagonistic... although my sister says I'm "on the spectrum"…

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