Search Results for “"time series"” – Page 8

Don’t Use Statistics Unless You Have To

We're finally getting it, as evinced by the responses to the article "Netherlands Temperature Controversy: Or, Yet Again, How Not To Do Time Series." Let's return to the Screaming Willies.…

Statistics

Can We Predict The Unpredictable?

The most intriguing thing about the new peer-reviewed paper of the same name as today's post in Nature: Scientific Reports by Abbas Golestani and Robin Gras is that it is…

Statistics

Paper Claims Surprisingly Strong Link Between Climate Change And Violence. Nonsense.

When does more crime happen, in winter or summer? Why? Too easy. How about this one: according to the FBI, what was the violent crime rate over time? No need…

Philosophy Statistics

Sampling Variability Is A Screwy, Misleading Concept

https://twitter.com/Bigdatanalysis/status/573739862924353536 Because of travel and jet lag, exacerbated by "springing forward", we continue our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles next week. If you can't read the tweet above, it says…

Statistics

Uncertainty Is An Impossible Sell

I've never seen the show, but I've heard that the protagonist on the X Files used to have a desk sign which read, "I want to believe." That sentiment characterizes…

Philosophy Statistics

Resolved: Statisticians To Cease Using “Independence”, Change To “Irrelevance”

What's the difference between "independence" and "irrelevance" and why does that difference matter? This typical passage is from The First Course in Probability by Sheldon Ross (p. 87) is lovely…

Statistics

Time Series Aren’t Easy: Tornado Deaths Example

Time series are the most abused statistics in the physical sciences. (It's an endless, raucous, peer-reviewed contest for the worst in the "soft sciences.") The Mann problem (is that a…

Statistics

Time Series And Causality: Global Warming Example

Temperature causes Here is an atmospheric monthly average temperature series: T = (61, 69, 69, 70, 72, 65, 63) (all F). What caused the temperature to take the value T1…

hudbwu on A Reason The Birthrate Is So Low: FoodMay 21, 2025
Personally, I'll still stick to my theory that the birth rates have fallen because people have been mentally damaged by…
Cloudbuster on Blacks Have Black Fatigue: Who Is At Fault?May 21, 2025
" The natural solution would be a formal separation: you go your way, we go ours. That, of course, would…
shawn marshall on Blacks Have Black Fatigue: Who Is At Fault?May 21, 2025
I was drafted in 1969. In DaNang in our rear echelon company we had three groups of troops: straight guys,…
C-Marie on Blacks Have Black Fatigue: Who Is At Fault?May 21, 2025
Count Dracula's comment is not okay. Leave the garbage at home. God bless, C-Marie
Count Dracula on Blacks Have Black Fatigue: Who Is At Fault?May 21, 2025
The problem is blacks and that previous generations of Whites and dumb women refused and continue to refuse to ship…