Search Results for “random chance” – Page 8

What That Spurious Correlation Website Tells Us About Statistics

Many (thanks!) readers sent links to Tyler Vigen's Spurious Correlations, whose motto is "Discover a new correlation - an interesting spurious correlation each day!" My favorite is tying the yearly…

Philosophy

Quantum Mechanics & Free Will: Guest Post by Bob Kurland

This post originally appeared in longer form at Bob's place. There's a lot of meat here; I recommend biting it off in small chunks. "Of course I believe in free…

Statistics

Scientists Claim Homosexual Men Have Different Faces

In the journal that brought you "Is a Woman's Preference for Chest Hair in Men Influenced by Parasite Threat?"1, "Accurate Identification of a Preference for Insertive Versus Receptive Intercourse from…

Philosophy Statistics

Never Say “Caused By Chance”

One of the services of this blog is grammatical guidance. In that spirit, here are phrases which should be forbidden, and will be once I am in charge (all highlights…

Statistics

Was The UEFA Champions League Draw Rigged?—Bayesian Analysis by Henk Tijms

Henk Tijms, emeritus professor at the Vrije University in Amsterdam, is author of Understanding Probability (excerpt; Amazon at this writing has it for only $31.29, a steal for textbooks). Football…

Philosophy Statistics

Bayes Always Works: An Answer To Senn; Part V

Read Part IV. We're almost done. Only one more after this. There are examples without number of the proper use of Bayes's Theorem: the probability you have cancer given a…

Philosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part II

Read Part I. What is the probability that "The Detroit Tigers win today's game" (which has not yet been played)? The truth of the proposition (in quotes) is not known…

Culture Statistics

Abortion Safety: Doctors V. Nurses & Physician Assistants & Midwives—Part II

Update 4 Too late. 10 October 2013. Update 4 Moved this to top because the bill allowing non-doctors to perform abortions is on Gov. Brown's desk. He'll likely sign, but…

Briggs on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024
gareth, If n = whatever, and k = 0,1,2,..., n. Then n - k = 0 at the end. And…
gareth on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024
16:43: "0!=1" - eh? n!=n*n-1... if n=0 then n!=0 Please explain or point to links that do :-) Comment: agree…
NLR on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
The thing that gets me about these rationalists is that they seem to think it's still 1998. All the Internet…
Rudolph Harrier on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
It was discussion of voting models that made it easy for me to believe your assertion that there are no…
Paul Murphy on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
and the #1 reason to dislike prediction markets is... they can be used like push polls to manipulate opinion -…