Update The paper on which this post was based has hit the presses which was used as an occasion for Nature to opine that, just maybe, that some of the softer sciences […]
The Great Bayesian Switch
Update: See this post on the definition of confidence and credible intervals. Submitted for your approval, a new paper. A polemic describing in nascent terms the paradise that awaits us once we […]
What’s The Difference Between A Confidence Interval And A Credible Interval? Update
Twitter @ceptional reminded me of this post, which I had forgotten. Since it is highly relevant to The Great Bayesian Switch, I decided to repost. Some minor errors in grammar have been […]
Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part III
Part I, II, III, IV, V. The objection which will occur to those, Lord help them, who have had some statistical training is that “increased” means a combination of “linear increase” and […]
The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part IV (finally the end!)
Read Part I, Part II, Part III. This is the missing Part, which was promised a year ago. We’re all tired of this subject, and there are so many other things to […]
British Judge Rules Against Bayes’s Theorem
A British judge has thrown a use of Bayes’s rule out of his court. Not only that, his honor (Lordship?) ruled “against using similar statistical analysis in the courts in future.” A […]
What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV
In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used probability model: […]
Something To Be Thankful For: Climategate 2.0
Thanks to Mr, or Mrs, Anonymous, that generous individual who has graced us with a new batch of emails from the world’s top climate scientists. These new missives are guaranteed to generate […]
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