An unfocused post today; just some notes on a paper. Busy day for me. Andrew Curtis wrote, “The science of subjectivity” in the January 2012 issue of the journal Geology (sent to […]
The Great Bayesian Switch
Update: See this post on the definition of confidence and credible intervals. Submitted for your approval, a new paper. A polemic describing in nascent terms the paradise that awaits us once we […]
Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part III
Part I, II, III, IV, V. The objection which will occur to those, Lord help them, who have had some statistical training is that “increased” means a combination of “linear increase” and […]
The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part IV (finally the end!)
Read Part I, Part II, Part III. This is the missing Part, which was promised a year ago. We’re all tired of this subject, and there are so many other things to […]
What’s The Difference Between A Confidence Interval And A Credible Interval? Update
Twitter @ceptional reminded me of this post, which I had forgotten. Since it is highly relevant to The Great Bayesian Switch, I decided to repost. Some minor errors in grammar have been […]
What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV
In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used probability model: […]
British Judge Rules Against Bayes’s Theorem
A British judge has thrown a use of Bayes’s rule out of his court. Not only that, his honor (Lordship?) ruled “against using similar statistical analysis in the courts in future.” A […]
Something To Be Thankful For: Climategate 2.0
Thanks to Mr, or Mrs, Anonymous, that generous individual who has graced us with a new batch of emails from the world’s top climate scientists. These new missives are guaranteed to generate […]
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