Search Results for “bayes bayesian” – Page 9

The Lady Tasting Tea: Bayes Versus Frequentism; Part IV (finally the end!)

Read Part I, Part II, Part III. This is the missing Part, which was promised a year ago. We're all tired of this subject, and there are so many other…

Statistics

How To Present Anything As Significant. Update: Nature Weighs In

Update The paper on which this post was based has hit the presses which was used as an occasion for Nature to opine that, just maybe, that some of the…

Philosophy Statistics

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part III

Part I, II, III, IV, V. The objection which will occur to those, Lord help them, who have had some statistical training is that "increased" means a combination of "linear…

Philosophy Statistics

What’s The Difference Between A Confidence Interval And A Credible Interval? Update

Twitter @ceptional reminded me of this post, which I had forgotten. Since it is highly relevant to The Great Bayesian Switch, I decided to repost. Some minor errors in grammar…

Culture Statistics

British Judge Rules Against Bayes’s Theorem

A British judge has thrown a use of Bayes's rule out of his court. Not only that, his honor (Lordship?) ruled "against using similar statistical analysis in the courts in…

Culture Statistics

Something To Be Thankful For: Climategate 2.0

Thanks to Mr, or Mrs, Anonymous, that generous individual who has graced us with a new batch of emails from the world's top climate scientists. These new missives are guaranteed…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

The Great Bayesian Switch

Update: See this post on the definition of confidence and credible intervals. Submitted for your approval, a new paper. A polemic describing in nascent terms the paradise that awaits us…

John Pate on Russia’s New Paradigm — Guest Post by Ianto WattDecember 1, 2024
This assumes that Putler and Russia are actually fighting Western globohomo and not, as ever, playing their part in the…
Just me on Russia’s New Paradigm — Guest Post by Ianto WattNovember 30, 2024
Old west rules still apply, even in the age of ....what do we call it......? I call it the age…
PhilH on Russia’s New Paradigm — Guest Post by Ianto WattNovember 30, 2024
Great essay. 1. It’s not winner take all. Game theory? 2. The guy at the table is about to get…
Johnno on Russia’s New Paradigm — Guest Post by Ianto WattNovember 29, 2024
Looks like even Putin is worried for Trump, and understands what's happening in America better than the blues voting 'Muricans.…
Chaeremon on Russia’s New Paradigm — Guest Post by Ianto WattNovember 29, 2024
the [geopolitical] state of affairs does not evolve by trying the same thing again to get better results (aka idiocy…