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William M. Briggs

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
The Week In Doom — Religion Of Man Triumphant Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — Religion Of Man Triumphant Edition

Item They're tightening the vise. As predicted, they're coming for your money. As one tweet down in the thread says (my emphasis): '"EU needs #digital single market. #Regulation should be…
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The Death of Christmas — Guest Post by Uncle Mike
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Death of Christmas — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

Last December 19th President Trump ordered the withdrawal of 2,000 American troops from Syria. The New York Times called the action "abrupt and chaotic" and reported: The decision brought a…
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A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study
Posted inStatistics

A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study

We're going to soon talk more about "IQ" and "intelligence". I'm working on a more in-depth article on the subject to carefully explicate the vast over-certainties I see on "both…
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How’d We Do On Our 2018 Predictions?
Posted inFun

How’d We Do On Our 2018 Predictions?

How'd we do? Let me put it this way: the Magic 8 Ball is in no danger of losing its position as top soothsayer. We were game, but overall there…
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Register Your Predictions For 2019!
Posted inFun

Register Your Predictions For 2019!

As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year tomorrow. Rules: Number…
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The Probability Of Your Existence
Posted inStatistics

The Probability Of Your Existence

A version of this column originally ran 7 July 2014. To the nearest order of magnitude, there have existed, including us, about 100 billion human beings. This proves what was…
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The Monty Hall Problem — Solved!
Posted inStatistics

The Monty Hall Problem — Solved!

In honor of Monty Hall, who passed away this past weekend (in October 2017), this classic article (which ran long ago, the date lost due to the hacking, solving his…
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How Many Geniuses Are There?
Posted inStatistics

How Many Geniuses Are There?

This post originally appeared 15 September 2008. Here is a question I often give on exams: What is the probability that the next child to be born will be a…
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  1. Lucy Tucker on What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?April 20, 2026

    You’re the best?????

  2. Johnno on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 19, 2026

    As I also believe via prophecy that Russia will rise, I wouldn't put much stock in Vladimir. His Special Military…

  3. Johnno on Contest Winner Announced!April 19, 2026

    Send the Gazan to Gaza the next time Netanyahu needs a convenient bombing operation to delay reopening his criminal trial.

  4. Johnno on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 19, 2026

    Careful there Briggs, we dogmatically believe that the Scriptures are inerrant... as the exception to every other potential work of…

  5. John Pate on Contest Winner Announced!April 17, 2026

    The Austrian Painter is too milquetoast for me. I'm holding out for Vlad the Impaler.

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