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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
Posted inStatistics

Historic Storm Nemo And The Feminization Of America. Crucial Photographic Updates

Post's original title: Feminization continues apace: Wall Street Journal edition The old joke has been modified: A sweater is a garment a citizen puts on when the government gets cold.…
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Posted inStatistics

Selective Abortion To Create Master Race: Progressive Academic Pushes For Moral Enhancement

Today's discovery is yet another academic with the map to Utopia glistening in his mind's eye. David DeGrazia of George Washington University, author of the peer-reviewed paper "Moral enhancement, freedom,…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Sex Selection And In Vitro Fertilization

I'm always on the lookout for remunerative ways to spend my time. There yesterday on the American Statistical Association jobs site was a situation for a Medical Statistician, which is…
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Posted inCulture Fun

E-books Will Lead To A Decrease In Reading

I have a Kindle. (It was generously donated by a reader a few years ago.) I have, say, 200 books on it, nearly all free from Project Gutenberg and similar…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Firearm Homicide Rates Around The World: Comparing With USA

Here's an around the world tour of homicide rates by firearm, brought to you by our friends at the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime. Rates are per 100,000…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayesian Probability Is Not Subjective (It Only Seems Like It Is)

Logic Start with standard logic; think syllogisms. This is not a trick question: Is it true or false that C = "George wears a hat"? There is no way to…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayesian Probability & Swinburne’s P-Inductive & C-Inductive Arguments (For God’s Existence)

Because I am jet-lagged (and fundamentally lazy) here is a classic post, modified to include a homework assignment. Don't be like me: do the work. This post contains some fundamental…
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Posted inStatistics

Mr Clarence Beeks, a.k.a. King Pleasure

I'm in the Mood for Love a.k.a. Moody's Mood for Love. Another travel day. I think it was this recording (and not another; "Pleasure" made several) that Danny Stiles used…
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  1. Johnno on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 9, 2025

    Facts and logic are very diverse things. As diverse as peoples, with diverse facts and diverse ways of logicking. Liberal…

  2. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 9, 2025

    Thank you for your answer, Professor. So the prediction interval is useful for predicting the number of failures among the…

  3. Briggs on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    Darin, There is no interval around a probability (with esoteric exceptions not of interest to us). All your evidence is…

  4. Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025

    I'm struggling to extrapolate this to the case when the thing I'm estimating is a probability. Let's say I observe…

  5. hudbwu on Changes Are Coming: Our Return to 1970sNovember 7, 2025

    I didn't come here for ~two months. Then I come back and ... *shit's gotten weird, son.* o.O At least…

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