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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
Posted inFun Statistics

Sleeping Beauty Probability Problem

Update This has been moved up from its original 29 Feb 2012 date on 23 March 2012 to allow additional comments. Update This has been moved up from its original…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Implications Of Moral Insignificance

In her piece "In Praise of Insignificance" in Scientific American, Jennifer Ouellette says, If one embraces an atheist worldview, it necessarily requires embracing, even celebrating, one's insignificance. It's a tall…
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Posted inCulture

Another Academic Says Climate Skeptics Criminals Against Humanity And Other Name Calling

In a talk at some "sustainability" something-or-other seminar---one this is sure: we're not going to soon run out of climate conclaves---academic Donald Brown told his audience (25 min. mark) that…
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Posted inPhilosophy

All Forecasts, Predictions, & Prophecies Are Contingent

Yesterday I made the point that Jim Hansen's latest threat of doom was a conditional one. I also said that there was nothing wrong with this. And there isn't. Nothing…
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Posted inStatistics

Boy Sues Government To Stop Global Warming. James Hansen Comes Out Of Hiding

I had thought the furor was over, that those who held ultramontane views about climatologists like James "Lock me up!" Hansen (see below the fold) had given up and gone…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Many Lie About Their Support Of Gay Marriage: Study

Thanks to New York Times's (yes) Russ Douthat who alerted us to the paper "Findings from a Decade of Polling on Ballot Measures Regarding the Legal Status of Same­ Sex…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

What The North Carolina Gay Marriage Vote Means To You If You Were Against It

North Carolina voted 61 to 39 to amend its constitution to read that marriage is solely a union between a man and a woman. This was, as far as democratic…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Heartland Institute Accomplishes Act To Self Once Thought Physically Impossible

At the risk of losing the argument before it begins, let me ask you two questions. Number One: What do Adolph Hitler, Mao Tse-tung, serial killer and eater Jeffrey Dahmer,…
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  1. Stosh from the Sticks on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025

    In my (moderately) humble opinion, much of difficulty in dealing with this "transgender" phenomenon is caused by folks conflating a…

  2. C-Marie on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025

    "...being born wrong” Has anyone asked what being born has to do with one's sexuality??? "A zygote forms when sperm…

  3. Cary Cotterman on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025

    Jeff, I used to listen to Dennis Prager quite a bit, and I've heard him condemn pornography at length several…

  4. Cary Cotterman on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025

    As far back as I can remember, to around late toddlerhood, I was always drawn to girls, even long before…

  5. JerryR on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025

    I have a question: what does it mean to be conservative? I always considered conservative to be truth. So what…

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