Briggs

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part III

Part I, II, III, IV, V. The objection which will occur to those, Lord help them, who have had some statistical training is that "increased" means a combination of "linear…

Philosophy Statistics

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part II

Part I, II, III, IV, V. Before us are the observations X1 to X156. Recall we are assuming that each of these X has been measured without any error. Given…

Statistics

Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part I

This series originally began 5 February 2012. Part I, II, III, IV, V. We've gone on and on about how to think about time series, but we are having trouble…

Philosophy Statistics

On Corrections In Science

Somebody attributed to Max Planck, a constant1 source of wisdom, the saying that science advances funeral by funeral. This is a pithy condensation of his more famous quotation: A new…

Culture Fun Statistics

Should Scientists Be Held Legally Responsible for Their Results?

That title is lifted from Popular Science's brief article. The idea is that scientists---as philosopher Christopher Essex reminded me, just like doctors and accountants and businessmen and engineers and everybody…

Statistics

On Global Warming Apoplexy: Temperature Trends

It is a sure sign that Sanity has packed her bags and headed for the door when otherwise sober scientists begin slinging around terms like "denier" and "denialist." Language like…

Fun Statistics

How To Maximize The Chance Of Winning The Office Super Bowl Pool

Forget climatology. It's time for something really controversial. How to fill in those grid squares on the Super Bowl office pool. An example of one is shown below. The full…

Statistics

Bad Astronomer Does Bad Statistics: That Wall Street Journal Editorial

Remember when I said how you shouldn't draw straight lines in time series and then speak of the line as if the line was the data itself? About how the…

Michael Dowd on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 25, 2025
Yes, the Anti-Christ will come sooner or later. Better to be prepared to meet Christ at our own demise.
shawn marshall on Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto WattNovember 25, 2025
Israel - Waiting for Godot for 2000 years = a stiff necked people Islam - Satanic Verses - also denies…
hudbwu on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 25, 2025
There are so many things that can be read out of these graphs. But I'm a little bit confused what…
hudbwu on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 25, 2025
There are so many things that can be read out of these graphs. But I'm a little bit confused what…
hudbwu on Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto WattNovember 25, 2025
I just looked at some (apparently "AI"-generated) statistics. It seems USA is on track to deport 500k people this year…