Briggs

Geo-engineering The Climate: Durban Global Warming Conference

A group of scientists, funded generously by Big Green, which includes the Environmental Defense Fund, have released a report to coincide with the efforts of the Durban Global Warming Conference,…

Fun Statistics

Are Experts Better At Predicting Sports Than Ordinary Fans?

Today's post is over at the new and, yes, improved Edgehogs.com. Our launch was a couple of months ago. Since that time we've got a good chunk of games and…

Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part VI Climate Model Focus

This is a technical addendum to the main series. I would have skipped this, but Climategate 2.0 revealed many misapprehensions of verification statistics that I want to clear up, particularly…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III

We have had two cases so far: arbitrary models for counterfactual Martians (Part I) and a deduced model for an urn holding dichotomous objects (Part II). The logic was identical…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part II

The models in Part I might not have "felt right" to you. But if that is so it is because your diet of probability examples has been too narrowly constricted.…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part I

The rules of logic are simple. Use whatever evidence you have, and no other, to figure the probability of a conclusion. These rules are all we need to understand what…

Briggs on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 29, 2026
JohnK, Thanks. Rather depressing.
JohnK on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 29, 2026
Long time, no comment, but a few years ago I compared estimated stillbirth + abortion numbers (excluding miscarriages) in the…
Stickler on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 29, 2026
Men do not simply “allow” women to kill their children. They also demand it, drive or coerce them to the…
John M on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 28, 2026
The research and studies about reversing Alzheimer's and other dementia is amazing. It will have a big impact on longevity…
C-Marie on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 28, 2026
Once a woman becomes pregnant, she is a mother, and the man who gave his sperm is a father. When…