Posted inBook review
Warnings by Mike Smith
Warnings: The True Story of How Science Tamed the Weather by Mike Smith Buy here. I met Mike Smith in 1994 or 1995 at an American Meteorological Society annual meeting.…
Posted inStatistics
2000 Scientists Demand Climate Action! Part II
Read Part I Cap & Trade & Tax & Spend is not dead. It was never even ailing. It's healthy and alert and standing in the corner, unnoticed. It has…
Posted inStatistics
2000 Scientists Demand Climate Action! Part I
Let's suppose everything you have heard about global warming is true. It really will warm by a half-degree Centigrade by 2050, or even by three-quarters of a degree, or whatever.…
Posted inStatistics
Democrats’ Appalling Budget Wishcast
Update No extra charge for today's initially misspelled headline. It is a logical fallacy to say that it OK for John to lie, cheat and steal because Mary lied, cheated…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Science News Statistical Article: Odds Are, It’s Wrong
Many (thank you everybody!) people sent me the "Odds Are, It's Wrong" article by Tom Siegfried and have asked me to comment. Below are the key points; I will assume…
Posted inCulture Philosophy
A Most Depressing Day
I had planned on discussing the Tom Siegfried Science News "Odds Are, It's Wrong" article on how bad classical statistics is that many readers sent in. But---and I'm sorry to…
Posted inCulture
Obamacare Predictions: Part II
Read Part I. I'll be away from the computer a large portion of today and will be slow in answering comments. Your health care will degrade Since the deficit will…
Posted inStatistics
Obamacare Predictions: Part I
Here are some things I think will happen if Obamacare is passed. When I say "you" or "your", I mean "people on average." Obviously, some people will benefit. This is…