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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
Posted inStatistics

Feigned Surprises of the Week: Journolist and Our New Tax

Said the main-stream journalist on Journolist, "If they of the right wing don't behave and treat our Golden Boy properly, we'll call them racists. It matters not whom we pick…
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Posted inFun Statistics

A Bust—I mean must—Read; Or, An Evolution in Bra Sizes

"Excuse me, miss. Would you care to participate in science?" Sometimes being a statistician is enviable. In a flash of scientific brilliance, Australian statisticians have just completed a massive study…
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Posted inFun Statistics

M. Night Shyamalan, Mel Gibson, and John Wayne

Part II of the Two-Envelope problem was not too friendly, so here's something that is. Via HotAir, I came across the site Marginal Revolution, in which was featured a graph…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Two-Envelope Problem Solution: Part II

Read Part I first. We are in the peek first game here. The distribution of N When X is odd, and all X are discrete, we know we should always…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Two-Envelope Problem Solution: Part I

Another probability "paradox", the two-envelope problem1, goes like this: Before you are two envelopes, A and B. One of them contains $X and the other $2X (which is equivalent to…
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Posted inCulture Fun

Four Chords Is All You Need: The Limited Nature of Pop Music

Coming tomorrow: the infamous two-envelope problem, solved! More mathematical constructivism. But today, as it's Sunday, something light and airy...and non taxing. A "comedy rock" group which bills itself as the…
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Posted inStatistics

St Petersburg Paradox; Games and Statistical Decisions; RIP David Blackwell

David Blackwell, who died two weeks ago, was one of the first mainstream statisticians to "go Bayesian." And for that and his unique skill in clearly explaining difficult ideas, we…
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Posted inStatistics

How to Fool Yourself—And Others—With Statistics

See the news box to the left. I wrote this long ago and never used it. I do not love it. But since I am so busy, I haven't the…
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  1. KGB on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 5, 2025

    Cole's article, while reading like the diary of a jilted 7th grade girl, is the very embodiment of crying out…

  2. Briggs on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 4, 2025

    John W, Garrett, You are welcome.

  3. Richard S. on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    I'm sorry but must correct the record. I have been a radio fan since the early 1960s -- AM, FM,…

  4. John W. Garrett on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 4, 2025

    S.Sgt Briggs, Thanks for this near-perfect example of sophistry and thimble-rigging.

  5. Briggs on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    JDinPA, CCReed, I see Cole's accusations, but he offers no proof. If he has it, he ought to give it.…

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