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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
Posted inFun Statistics

M. Night Shyamalan, Mel Gibson, and John Wayne

Part II of the Two-Envelope problem was not too friendly, so here's something that is. Via HotAir, I came across the site Marginal Revolution, in which was featured a graph…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Two-Envelope Problem Solution: Part II

Read Part I first. We are in the peek first game here. The distribution of N When X is odd, and all X are discrete, we know we should always…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Two-Envelope Problem Solution: Part I

Another probability "paradox", the two-envelope problem1, goes like this: Before you are two envelopes, A and B. One of them contains $X and the other $2X (which is equivalent to…
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Posted inCulture Fun

Four Chords Is All You Need: The Limited Nature of Pop Music

Coming tomorrow: the infamous two-envelope problem, solved! More mathematical constructivism. But today, as it's Sunday, something light and airy...and non taxing. A "comedy rock" group which bills itself as the…
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Posted inStatistics

St Petersburg Paradox; Games and Statistical Decisions; RIP David Blackwell

David Blackwell, who died two weeks ago, was one of the first mainstream statisticians to "go Bayesian." And for that and his unique skill in clearly explaining difficult ideas, we…
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Posted inStatistics

How to Fool Yourself—And Others—With Statistics

See the news box to the left. I wrote this long ago and never used it. I do not love it. But since I am so busy, I haven't the…
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Posted inStatistics

US Military Fatality Statistics: Have Suicides Increased?

All statistics were gathered from this DOD site. 2010 numbers were current as of 5 June this year; they were not part of the plots below. In 1983, the year…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

‘The Most Dangerous Philosopher in the West’

Extremely busy day, today. I have time for only the merest sketch of a post. The title is not mine, but a label given to Slavoj Zizek, the rock-star communist…
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  1. Hagfish Bagpipe on Diversity Patrol Scanning Citations For VictimsNovember 5, 2025

    "Consider this article one man addressing it." And doing such a fine job that none of your adversaries dare address…

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Diversity Patrol Scanning Citations For VictimsNovember 5, 2025

    When I was writing papers and technical reports, I cited the papers from which I got the information I needed.…

  3. Lab Rat on Diversity Patrol Scanning Citations For VictimsNovember 5, 2025

    Most of the time papers only have the first initial in the citation author list - how the heck am…

  4. shawn marshall on Diversity Patrol Scanning Citations For VictimsNovember 5, 2025

    As long as women can vote the USA is doomed.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Diversity Patrol Scanning Citations For VictimsNovember 5, 2025

    This represents yet another example of what happens when people can self-identify as "high IQ".

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