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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

The limits of statistics: black swans and randomness

The author of Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, has penned the essay THE FOURTH QUADRANT: A MAP OF THE LIMITS OF STATISTICS over at Edge.org…
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Posted inBook review

Transforming American Military Policy

Finding the Target: The Transformation of American Military Policy by Frederick W. Kagan, 2006. Encounter Books. Recommendation: read This book is an excellent accounting of the theories that have gripped…
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Posted inBook review

Calculated Risks: How to know when numbers deceive you: Gerd Gigerenzer

Gerd Gigerenzer, Simon and Schuster, New York, 310 pp., ISBN 0-7432-0556-1, $25.00 Should healthy women get regular mammograms to screen for breast cancer? The surprising answer, according to this wonderful…
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Posted inBook review

“The Future of Everything” by David Orrell

The Future of Everything by David Orrell. Thunder's Mouth Press, New York. I wanted to like this book, which was supposed to be an examination of how well scientists made…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

The Algebra of Probable Inference: Richard T. Cox

This is a lovely, lovely book and I can't believe it has taken me this long to find and read it (November 2005: I was lead to this book via…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

The Rationality of Induction: David Stove

Is deductive logic empirical? No. Is inductive logic also empirical? No. Is induction justified and, if so, is it just an extension of logic? Yes. These are Stove's conclusions as…
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  1. John Pate on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025

    ...and another thing: in Fisher's works first understanding the distribution of what you're measuring in population you are sampling from…

  2. JH on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025

    Since your definition of p-values is not entirely correct, FYI - understanding p-values and different meanings of p-value

  3. John Pate on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025

    To be fair to R.A. Fisher he warned people were over-enthusiastic about applying the tools he provided. He wasn't as…

  4. McChuck on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 21, 2025

    "Faster, pussycat! Kill! Kill!" You can't repeat the mantra enough.

  5. gareth on The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In ScienceAugust 20, 2025

    "I have answered three six questions, and that is enough," Said his father Briggs; "don't give yourself airs! Do you…

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