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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

The limits of statistics: black swans and randomness

The author of Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, has penned the essay THE FOURTH QUADRANT: A MAP OF THE LIMITS OF STATISTICS over at Edge.org…
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Posted inBook review

Transforming American Military Policy

Finding the Target: The Transformation of American Military Policy by Frederick W. Kagan, 2006. Encounter Books. Recommendation: read This book is an excellent accounting of the theories that have gripped…
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Posted inBook review

Calculated Risks: How to know when numbers deceive you: Gerd Gigerenzer

Gerd Gigerenzer, Simon and Schuster, New York, 310 pp., ISBN 0-7432-0556-1, $25.00 Should healthy women get regular mammograms to screen for breast cancer? The surprising answer, according to this wonderful…
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Posted inBook review

“The Future of Everything” by David Orrell

The Future of Everything by David Orrell. Thunder's Mouth Press, New York. I wanted to like this book, which was supposed to be an examination of how well scientists made…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

The Algebra of Probable Inference: Richard T. Cox

This is a lovely, lovely book and I can't believe it has taken me this long to find and read it (November 2005: I was lead to this book via…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy

The Rationality of Induction: David Stove

Is deductive logic empirical? No. Is inductive logic also empirical? No. Is induction justified and, if so, is it just an extension of logic? Yes. These are Stove's conclusions as…
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  1. Philip Rogan on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 29, 2026

    Effective Altruism is something else I've never hard of but apparently has been infecting academic circles for decades. I took…

  2. John M on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 29, 2026

    Thanks for reminding me of that classic Klingon joke!

  3. Rob Potter on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 29, 2026

    Asimov's robot stories are the best example that an artificial intelligence is not intelligence. They were a fabulous way for…

  4. John Pate on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 28, 2026

    We should all re-read our Ted Kaczynski materials. A man ahead of his time.

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the AntsSeptember 28, 2026

    While in university, I took a class called "Symbolic Logic". Logic was then taught through the Philosophy department, which was…

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