The author of Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, has penned the essay THE FOURTH QUADRANT: A MAP OF THE LIMITS OF STATISTICS over at Edge.org (which I […]
Transforming American Military Policy
Finding the Target: The Transformation of American Military Policy by Frederick W. Kagan, 2006. Encounter Books. Recommendation: read This book is an excellent accounting of the theories that have gripped and influenced […]
Calculated Risks: How to know when numbers deceive you: Gerd Gigerenzer
Gerd Gigerenzer, Simon and Schuster, New York, 310 pp., ISBN 0-7432-0556-1, $25.00 Should healthy women get regular mammograms to screen for breast cancer? The surprising answer, according to this wonderful new book […]
“The Future of Everything” by David Orrell
The Future of Everything by David Orrell. Thunder’s Mouth Press, New York. I wanted to like this book, which was supposed to be an examination of how well scientists made predictions—my special […]
The Algebra of Probable Inference: Richard T. Cox
This is a lovely, lovely book and I can’t believe it has taken me this long to find and read it (November 2005: I was lead to this book via Jaynes, who […]
The Rationality of Induction: David Stove
Is deductive logic empirical? No. Is inductive logic also empirical? No. Is induction justified and, if so, is it just an extension of logic? Yes. These are Stove’s conclusions as he takes […]
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