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Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part V
Posted inClass Statistics

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part V

Review! This class is neither frequentist nor Bayesian nor machine learning in theory. It is pure probability, and unlike any other class available. And for the right price! We have…
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Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part IV
Posted inClass Statistics

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part IV

Review! Code coming next week! Last time we decided to put ourselves in the mind of a dean and ask for the chance of CGPA falling into one of these…
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Parameters Aren’t What You Think
Posted inClass Statistics

Parameters Aren’t What You Think

I was asked to comment on a post by Dan Simpson exploring the Bernstein-von Mises theorem. This post fits in with the Data Science class, a happy coincidence, and has…
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Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part III
Posted inClass Statistics

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part III

You must review: Part I, II. Not reviewing is like coming to class late and saying "What did I miss?" Note the New & Improved title! Here are the main…
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Posted inClass Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part III: Ergodicity & All That

Read Part I, Part II Ergodic in probability has a technical definition. Without going into mathematical details (which are fine except possibly when applied), a "sequence" is defined as a…
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Posted inClass Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part II: Skin in the Game

Read Part I It is in one sense fortunate that the mathematical, or rather quantitative, roots of probability began with gambling. Routine gambles are easy to understand, and the calculations…
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Posted inClass Philosophy Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part I: I Say Probability Does Not Exist

Ye Olde Statistician points us to an essay (a book chapter?) by our old pal Nassim Nicholas Taleb called "The Logic of Risk Taking". Let's examine it. You, dear reader,…
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Posted inClass Statistics

Example Of How To Eliminate P-values & Their Replacement

Many, many more details are available in Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics and at this page. Last time we learned that the way to do probability models…
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  1. _Jim on You Can’t Con An Honest Man & The Case of Jason ArdayAugust 14, 2026

    And, just like that, he (apparently) self-exterminates. Found unresponsive and declared deceased where they found him today, Friday the 14th…

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    C-Marie. Look around you. Virtually all the ugly woman who have corrupted the western world in the last 50 years…

  3. Cary Cotterman on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026

    Every day there's some paper or article claiming that something is good for you, followed the next day by some…

  4. spetzer86 on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026

    Always fun watching the lectures.

  5. JRob on Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your MindAugust 13, 2026

    The epidemiologist fallacies are always enjoyable. It seems that there is a rash of scientists now saying that previous scientists…

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